BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
BABA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BBWI
Bath & Body Works, Inc.
BBWI has the edge over BABA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
BABA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy |
BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
BBWI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
BBWI's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
BABA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $69.66 | -26% |
| Fair | 20x | $86.59 | -8.2% |
| Current | 21x | $94.36 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $115 | +22% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BBWI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.6x | $21.08 | — |
| Cheap | 6.8x | $25.98 | +23% |
| Forward | 7.9x | $21.08 | — |
| Fair | 9.6x | $36.49 | +73% |
| Expensive | 13x | $49.09 | +133% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BBWI has the edge over BABA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BABA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BABA has the edge over BBWI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
BBWI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect BBWI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
BABA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | -52% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.57 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.79 | -22% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.85 | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.27 | +116% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.06 | +71% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.47 | +24% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.26 | -35% |
BABA has the edge over BBWI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BBWI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.65 | -30% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.80 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.52 | -5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.11 | -14% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.22 | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.34 | -19% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.72 | -3.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.61 | -6% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.09 | +28% |
BBWI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.80 over the past year, against $6.51 in mid-2021.
BABA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $40.2B | +8.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $36.5B | +2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $42.7B | +1.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.2B | +4.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $37.2B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.5B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $42B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2024 | $35.5B | +5.2% |
BABA has the edge over BBWI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.2% | -6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3% | -12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -7.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 15% | 0 points |
BABA's operating margin was 7.2% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BBWI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -2.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | -3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.7B | -2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.6B | -1% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +2.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.8B | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +3.1% |
BBWI's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.5B last quarter, down 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +0.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 14% | -0.6 points |
BBWI has the edge over BABA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BABA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$6.7B | -$4.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.7B | +$1.5B |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | -90% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.2B | -254% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.7B | -182% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.2B | -12231% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.4B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.1B | -62% |
BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.
BBWI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23M | +$122M |
| Q2 2026 | $195M | +29% |
| Q1 2026 | $814M | -9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1M | +$163M |
| Q3 2025 | -$99M | +$2M |
| Q2 2025 | $151M | +403% |
| Q1 2025 | $895M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | -$164M | -$43M |
BBWI has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BABA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.5% | +11.1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +21.4M shares |
| 3 years | -6.2% | -161M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -339M shares |
| Available history | -8.4% | -221M shares |
BABA has 2.4B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $269.8M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
BABA spent $270M buying back its own shares over the past year, after none the year before.
BBWI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -4.3% | -9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -27M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -78M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -74M shares |
BBWI has the edge over BABA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $57M |
| Q4 2025 | $90M |
| Q3 2025 | $118M |
| Q2 2025 | $136M |
| Q1 2025 | $52M |
| Q4 2024 | $101M |
BBWI spent $147M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 64% from the year before.
BABA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
BABA has the edge over BBWI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BBWI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.6x | Moderate |
BBWI's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.
BABA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.7 | Oversold |
BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
BBWI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 76.4 | Neutral |
BBWI's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).
BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BABA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 60 | 47 | 13 pts above |
BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
BBWI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BBWI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.6x | 18x | 69% below |
| PE % | 5 | 47 | 42 pts below |
BBWI has the edge over BABA on valuation relative to its sector.
BABA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.7 | 9.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $111.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $128.0 | 26% below |
| 100 week MA | $127.7 | 26% below |
| 200 week MA | $106.4 | 11% below |
BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.
BBWI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $19.5 | 8% above |
| 20 week MA | $19.7 | 7.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $20.1 | 5% above |
| 100 week MA | $25.0 | 16% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.5 | 33% below |
BBWI has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BABA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $215.5 | $222.0 | +3% |
| 2021 | $222.0 | $118.7 | -47% |
| 2022 | $118.7 | $85.7 | -28% |
| 2023 | $85.7 | $77.5 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $77.5 | $85.1 | +9.7% |
| 2025 | $85.1 | $152.2 | +79% |
| 2026 YTD | $152.2 | $94.4 | -38% |
BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
BBWI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.7 | $31.5 | +114% |
| 2021 | $31.5 | $69.5 | +121% |
| 2022 | $69.5 | $41.9 | -40% |
| 2023 | $41.9 | $43.2 | +2.9% |
| 2024 | $43.2 | $38.2 | -12% |
| 2025 | $38.2 | $19.8 | -48% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.8 | $21.1 | +6.5% |
BBWI has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.