BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

53
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

BABA has the edge over BARK overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

BARK

BARK, Inc.

43
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

BARK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BABA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Healthy

BABA's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BARK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Stable
Unavailable

BARK's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BABA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.3x19x28x37x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$69.66-26%
Fair20x$86.59-8.2%
Current21x$94.36—
Expensive26x$115+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BABA's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BARK PE Valuation

BARK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BABA has the edge over BARK on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BARK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BARK's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

BABA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$125.09
Downside-23%$72.35

Calculated from the latest close: $94.36 on Nov 12.

BABA trails BARK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BARK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$15.64
Downside-42%$5.30

Calculated from the latest close: $9.11 on Nov 12.

BARK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BABA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BABA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
Q3 2023: $8.12Q4 2023: $6.04Q1 2024: $4.71Q2 2024: $4.29Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $7.47Q1 2025: $8.06Q2 2025: $9.27Q3 2025: $7.85Q4 2025: $5.79Q1 2026: $6.57Q2 2026: $4.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$4.42-52%
Q1 2026$6.57-18%
Q4 2025$5.79-22%
Q3 2025$7.85+49%
Q2 2025$9.27+116%
Q1 2025$8.06+71%
Q4 2024$7.47+24%
Q3 2024$5.26-35%

BABA has the edge over BARK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BARK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.40Q1 2024: $-4.20Q2 2024: $-4.00Q3 2024: $-3.40Q4 2024: $-3.60Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $-3.40Q3 2025: $-4.00Q4 2025: $-3.60Q1 2026: $-4.57Q2 2026: $-3.69Q3 2026: $-2.92
Q4 2023: $-5.40Q1 2024: $-4.20Q2 2024: $-4.00Q3 2024: $-3.40Q4 2024: $-3.60Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $-3.40Q3 2025: $-4.00Q4 2025: $-3.60Q1 2026: $-4.57Q2 2026: $-3.69Q3 2026: $-2.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.92+$1.08
Q2 2026-$3.69-$0.29
Q1 2026-$4.57-$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.60$0.00
Q3 2025-$4.00-$0.60
Q2 2025-$3.40+$0.60
Q1 2025-$3.80+$0.40
Q4 2024-$3.60+$1.80

BARK is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.92 per share over the past year, against $8.80 at its worst in early 2022.

BABA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
Q3 2023: $33.7BQ4 2023: $39.1BQ1 2024: $33.3BQ2 2024: $36.5BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $42BQ1 2025: $35.5BQ2 2025: $37.2BQ3 2025: $37.2BQ4 2025: $42.7BQ1 2026: $36.5BQ2 2026: $40.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$40.2B+8.3%
Q1 2026$36.5B+2.9%
Q4 2025$42.7B+1.7%
Q3 2025$37.2B+4.8%
Q2 2025$37.2B+1.8%
Q1 2025$35.5B+6.6%
Q4 2024$42B+7.6%
Q3 2024$35.5B+5.2%

BABA has the edge over BARK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BARK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $121MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $126MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $98MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $121MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $126MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $98MQ1 2026: $87MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$87.6M-18%
Q2 2026$78.8M-23%
Q1 2026$86.6M-25%
Q4 2025$98.4M-22%
Q3 2025$107M-15%
Q2 2025$102.9M-11%
Q1 2025$115.4M-5%
Q4 2024$126.4M+1.1%

BARK's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $88M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

BABA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
Q3 2023: $5.4BQ4 2023: $11BQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: −$4.2BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$3.2BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: −$2.7BQ2 2026: −$6.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$6.7B-$4.1B
Q1 2026-$2.7B+$1.5B
Q4 2025$1B-90%
Q3 2025-$3.2B-254%
Q2 2025-$2.7B-182%
Q1 2025-$4.2B-12231%
Q4 2024$10.4B-4.8%
Q3 2024$2.1B-62%

BABA's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$11.6B over the past year.

BARK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$251,000Q3 2024: $966,000Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2023: $13MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$251,000Q3 2024: $966,000Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: −$20MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.6M+$24.5M
Q2 2026-$3.7M+$2.5M
Q1 2026-$2.1M+$9.9M
Q4 2025$1.6M+$3.5M
Q3 2025-$19.9M-2163%
Q2 2025-$6.1M-$5.9M
Q1 2025-$12M-$8.8M
Q4 2024-$2M-115%

BARK has the edge over BABA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BABA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
Q3 2023: 2.6BQ4 2023: 2.5BQ1 2024: 2.5BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.4BQ4 2024: 2.4BQ1 2025: 2.4BQ2 2025: 2.4BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.4BQ1 2026: 2.4BQ2 2026: 2.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+11.1M shares
1 year+0.9%+21.4M shares
3 years-6.2%-161M shares
5 years-12%-339M shares
Available history-8.4%-221M shares

BABA has the edge over BARK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BARK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+143K shares
1 year+4.6%+390K shares
3 years+0.9%+79.1K shares
5 years+0.9%+77.3K shares

BARK has 9M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.

BABA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.6xQ4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

BABA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BARK Net Leverage

BARK's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BABA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic12.7Oversold

BABA's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BARK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic36.6Neutral

BARK's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 37 (neutral).

BABA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBABASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %604713 pts above

BABA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

BARK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

BARK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BABA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$104.79.9% below
20 week MA$111.115% below
50 week MA$128.026% below
100 week MA$127.726% below
200 week MA$106.411% below

BABA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 11% below its 200-week average.

BARK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.2710% above
20 week MA$9.251.5% below
50 week MA$11.118% below
100 week MA$17.548% below
200 week MA$22.159% below

BARK has the edge over BABA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BABA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$215.5$222.0+3%
2021$222.0$118.7-47%
2022$118.7$85.7-28%
2023$85.7$77.5-9.5%
2024$77.5$85.1+9.7%
2025$85.1$152.2+79%
2026 YTD$152.2$94.4-38%

BABA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

BARK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$248.0$370.0+49%
2021$370.0$84.0-77%
2022$84.0$28.4-66%
2023$28.4$16.1-43%
2024$16.1$37.4+132%
2025$37.4$12.3-67%
2026 YTD$12.3$9.11-26%

BARK has the edge over BABA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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