BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over VLRS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

VLRS

Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.

56
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

VLRS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

VLRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Strong
Weak

VLRS's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

VLRS PE Valuation

VLRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over VLRS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

VLRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect VLRS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails VLRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VLRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$12.32
Downside-34%$5.37

Calculated from the latest close: $8.12 on Nov 12.

VLRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over VLRS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VLRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $1.09Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.54Q4 2025: $-0.89Q1 2026: $-1.07Q2 2026: $-1.63Q3 2026: $-1.91
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $1.66Q4 2024: $1.09Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $-0.27Q3 2025: $-0.54Q4 2025: $-0.89Q1 2026: $-1.07Q2 2026: $-1.63Q3 2026: $-1.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.91-$1.37
Q2 2026-$1.63-$1.36
Q1 2026-$1.07-397%
Q4 2025-$0.89-182%
Q3 2025-$0.54-133%
Q2 2025-$0.27-127%
Q1 2025$0.36-63%
Q4 2024$1.09+1457%

VLRS lost $1.91 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last eight quarters.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over VLRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VLRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $899MQ1 2024: $768MQ2 2024: $726MQ3 2024: $813MQ4 2024: $835MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $784MQ4 2025: $882MQ1 2026: $770MQ2 2026: $859MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $899MQ1 2024: $768MQ2 2024: $726MQ3 2024: $813MQ4 2024: $835MQ1 2025: $678MQ2 2025: $693MQ3 2025: $784MQ4 2025: $882MQ1 2026: $770MQ2 2026: $859MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+32%
Q2 2026$859M+24%
Q1 2026$770M+14%
Q4 2025$881.5M+5.6%
Q3 2025$784M-3.6%
Q2 2025$693M-4.5%
Q1 2025$678M-12%
Q4 2024$834.9M-7.1%

VLRS's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over VLRS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VLRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $245MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $234M
Q4 2023: $218MQ1 2024: $245MQ2 2024: $304MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $165MQ1 2026: $176MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $234M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$234M+178%
Q2 2026$137.2M+79%
Q1 2026$176.3M+183%
Q4 2025$165.3M-46%
Q3 2025$84.2M-64%
Q2 2025$76.6M-75%
Q1 2025$62.2M-75%
Q4 2024$308M+41%

VLRS still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $713M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

VLRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 116MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 115M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 117MQ2 2024: 117MQ3 2024: 116MQ4 2024: 117MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 116MQ3 2025: 116MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 115MQ2 2026: 115MQ3 2026: 115M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+33.1K shares
1 year-1.1%-1.3M shares
3 years-1.4%-1.6M shares
5 years-1.4%-1.6M shares

VLRS has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over VLRS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VLRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.9xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 5.1xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.5xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20264.5xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20255.1xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20243.9xElevated

VLRS's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

VLRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic61.6Neutral

VLRS's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

VLRS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVLRSSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

VLRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

VLRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.7021% above
20 week MA$7.1913% above
50 week MA$7.843.6% above
100 week MA$6.9517% above
200 week MA$7.922.5% above

VLRS has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

VLRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.5$11.0+4.9%
2021$11.0$17.7+60%
2022$17.7$8.53-52%
2023$8.53$9.38+10%
2024$9.38$7.63-19%
2025$7.63$9.22+21%
2026 YTD$9.22$8.12-12%

VLRS has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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