BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over UPWK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UPWK

Upwork Inc.

49
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

UPWK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

UPWK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

UPWK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over UPWK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UPWK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE59x119x178x238x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE59x119x178x238x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.7x$9.86—
Cheap9.3x$7.56-23%
Fair12x$9.55-3.1%
Current12x$9.86—
Expensive30x$23.95+143%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UPWK's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.7x, in its cheap range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over UPWK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

UPWK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect UPWK's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UPWK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UPWK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$12.35
Downside-31%$6.83

Calculated from the latest close: $9.86 on Nov 12.

UPWK trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

UPWK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.06Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.62Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.66Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.74Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.81Q2 2026: $0.77Q3 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.13
Q4 2023: $0.06Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.62Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.66Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.74Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.81Q2 2026: $0.77Q3 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.13+39%
Q3 2026$0.81-53%
Q2 2026$0.77-55%
Q1 2026$0.81-51%
Q4 2025$0.84-45%
Q3 2025$1.74+181%
Q2 2025$1.73+220%
Q1 2025$1.66+388%
Q4 2024$1.52+2433%

UPWK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.81 over the past year, against $1.74 in late 2025.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over UPWK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UPWK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $193MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $202MQ4 2025: $198MQ1 2026: $195MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $186M
Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $193MQ3 2024: $194MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $195MQ3 2025: $202MQ4 2025: $198MQ1 2026: $195MQ2 2026: $192MQ3 2026: $186M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$185.6M-8%
Q2 2026$191.7M-1.7%
Q1 2026$195.5M+1.4%
Q4 2025$198.4M+3.6%
Q3 2025$201.7M+4.1%
Q2 2025$194.9M+0.9%
Q1 2025$192.7M+0.9%
Q4 2024$191.5M+4.1%

UPWK's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $186M last quarter, down 8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over UPWK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UPWK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $101MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $62M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $101MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $62M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.8M-17%
Q2 2026$45.3M-35%
Q1 2026$21.3M-38%
Q4 2025$63.2M+811%
Q3 2025$74.6M-26%
Q2 2025$70.1M+91%
Q1 2025$34.5M+530%
Q4 2024$6.9M+$12.4M

UPWK generated $192M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.9% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

UPWK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 137MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 128M
Q4 2023: 137MQ1 2024: 144MQ2 2024: 138MQ3 2024: 139MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 141MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 128M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.7M shares
1 year-8.2%-11.4M shares
3 years-6.6%-9M shares
5 years+0.3%+346K shares
Available history+17%+18.4M shares

UPWK has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

UPWK Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 11.2xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q1 2024: 11.2xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

UPWK has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

UPWK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.1Neutral
Stochastic72.4Neutral

UPWK's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

UPWK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricUPWKSector medianRelative
PE12x24x49% below
PE %52586 pts below

UPWK has the edge over BA on valuation relative to its sector.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

UPWK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.979.9% above
20 week MA$8.9211% above
50 week MA$11.917% below
100 week MA$13.627% below
200 week MA$12.823% below

UPWK has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over UPWK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UPWK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$37.8+263%
2021$37.8$33.6-11%
2022$33.6$10.4-69%
2023$10.4$14.9+43%
2024$14.9$16.9+14%
2025$16.9$20.9+23%
2026 YTD$20.9$9.86-53%

UPWK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +263% in 2020 to −69% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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