BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TXT

Textron Inc.

67
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

TXT has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

TXT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TXT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over TXT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TXT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x23x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x23x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$84.31—
Current15x$84.31—
Cheap16x$89.89+6.6%
Fair18x$101+20%
Expensive23x$126+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TXT's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TXT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TXT, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails TXT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TXT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$106.17
Downside-11%$75.15

Calculated from the latest close: $84.31 on Nov 12.

TXT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

TXT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.67Q2 2024: $4.72Q3 2024: $4.55Q4 2024: $4.33Q1 2025: $4.43Q2 2025: $4.43Q3 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $5.11Q2 2026: $5.23Q3 2026: $5.30Q4 2026: $5.55Forward: $7.03
Q4 2023: $4.56Q1 2024: $4.67Q2 2024: $4.72Q3 2024: $4.55Q4 2024: $4.33Q1 2025: $4.43Q2 2025: $4.43Q3 2025: $4.56Q1 2026: $5.11Q2 2026: $5.23Q3 2026: $5.30Q4 2026: $5.55Forward: $7.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.03+27%
Q3 2026$5.55+22%
Q2 2026$5.30+20%
Q1 2026$5.23+18%
Q4 2025$5.11+18%
Q3 2025$4.56+0.2%
Q2 2025$4.43-6.1%
Q1 2025$4.43-5.1%
Q4 2024$4.33-5%

TXT has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over TXT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TXT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.6BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.8BQ4 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.6BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $3.7BQ3 2026: $3.8BQ4 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+4.1%
Q2 2026$3.8B+3%
Q1 2026$3.7B+12%
Q4 2025$4.2B+16%
Q3 2025$3.6B+5.1%
Q2 2025$3.7B+5.4%
Q1 2025$3.3B+5.5%
Q4 2024$3.6B-7.2%

TXT's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $3.8B last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over TXT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TXT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $371MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $293MQ3 2024: $137MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: −$180MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $273MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: −$250MQ3 2026: $209MQ4 2026: $323M
Q4 2023: $371MQ1 2024: −$73MQ2 2024: $293MQ3 2024: $137MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: −$180MQ2 2025: $309MQ3 2025: $273MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: −$250MQ3 2026: $209MQ4 2026: $323M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$323M+18%
Q2 2026$209M-32%
Q1 2026-$250M-$70M
Q4 2025$527M+80%
Q3 2025$273M+99%
Q2 2025$309M+5.5%
Q1 2025-$180M-$107M
Q4 2024$293M-21%

TXT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $809M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

TXT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 202MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 190MQ1 2025: 184MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 179MQ1 2026: 180MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 175MQ4 2026: 173M
Q4 2023: 202MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 192MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 190MQ1 2025: 184MQ2 2025: 181MQ3 2025: 179MQ1 2026: 180MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 175MQ4 2026: 173M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-2.5M shares
1 year-3.7%-6.6M shares
3 years-14%-27.5M shares
5 years-24%-54M shares
Available history-25%-57.3M shares

TXT has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

TXT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.0xQ4 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.3xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.0xQ4 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

TXT has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TXT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.4Neutral
Stochastic61.8Neutral

TXT's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

TXT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTXTSector medianRelative
PE15x24x37% below
PE %125846 pts below

TXT has the edge over BA on valuation relative to its sector.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

TXT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$79.36.3% above
20 week MA$83.70.7% above
50 week MA$88.44.6% below
100 week MA$82.81.8% above
200 week MA$81.43.6% above

TXT has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

TXT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.4$48.1+8.4%
2021$48.1$75.9+58%
2022$75.9$70.4-7.2%
2023$70.4$80.4+14%
2024$80.4$77.2-4%
2025$77.2$90.2+17%
2026 YTD$90.2$84.3-6.6%

TXT has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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