BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TH

Target Hospitality Corp.

60
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

TH has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

TH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Strong
Weak

TH's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TH PE Valuation

TH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TH to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails TH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$19.20
Downside-37%$7.56

Calculated from the latest close: $11.98 on Nov 12.

TH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over TH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.56Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $1.12Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $-0.11Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.43Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $0.64
Q4 2023: $1.56Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $1.12Q3 2024: $0.89Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $-0.11Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.43Q2 2026: $-0.37Q3 2026: $-0.45Forward: $0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.64—
Q3 2026-$0.45-$0.34
Q2 2026-$0.37-470%
Q1 2026-$0.43-200%
Q4 2025-$0.37-153%
Q3 2025-$0.11-112%
Q2 2025$0.10-91%
Q1 2025$0.43-69%
Q4 2024$0.70-55%

TH lost $0.45 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over TH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $129M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $101MQ3 2024: $95MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $90MQ1 2026: $73MQ2 2026: $85MQ3 2026: $129M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$129.1M+30%
Q2 2026$85.5M+39%
Q1 2026$72.8M+4.1%
Q4 2025$89.8M+7.3%
Q3 2025$99.4M+4.4%
Q2 2025$61.6M-39%
Q1 2025$69.9M-34%
Q4 2024$83.7M-34%

TH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $129M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over TH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $53MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40.4M-24%
Q2 2026$96.2M+772%
Q1 2026$6.9M+$18.4M
Q4 2025$5.7M-81%
Q3 2025$53.3M+70%
Q2 2025$11M-72%
Q1 2025-$11.6M-123%
Q4 2024$30.2M-21%

TH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $149M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

TH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 105MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 99MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 100MQ2 2026: 100MQ3 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-315K shares
1 year+0.1%+121K shares
3 years-4.9%-5.2M shares
5 years+3.2%+3.1M shares
Available history+2.1%+2.1M shares

TH has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over TH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TH's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

TH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic12.4Oversold

TH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

TH PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTHSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

TH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

TH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.523% below
20 week MA$16.929% below
50 week MA$13.813% below
100 week MA$10.811% above
200 week MA$11.26.8% above

TH has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

TH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.92$1.61-67%
2021$1.61$3.31+106%
2022$3.31$15.5+369%
2023$15.5$9.73-37%
2024$9.73$9.88+1.5%
2025$9.88$8.48-14%
2026 YTD$8.48$12.0+41%

TH has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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