BA
The Boeing Company
BA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
POWW
Outdoor Holding Company
POWW has the edge over BA overall on the model score.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
POWW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
POWW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over POWW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
POWW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $0.46 | -80% |
| Fair | 21x | $0.64 | -72% |
| Forward | 51x | $2.28 | — |
| Expensive | 74x | $2.23 | -2.1% |
| Current | 76x | $2.28 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
POWW's PE is 76x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
POWW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect POWW to return to profit, with revenue growing.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has the edge over POWW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
POWW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.04 | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.03 | +$1.10 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.05 | +$1.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.71 | -$0.19 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.95 | -$0.64 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.07 | -$0.80 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.14 | -$0.98 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.52 | -$0.37 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.31 | -$0.14 |
POWW has returned to profit: it earned $0.03 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over POWW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
POWW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14.5M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.4M | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $12M | -62% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.9M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.2M | -19% |
| Q3 2024 | $31.4M | -8.6% |
| Q2 2024 | $31M | -9.6% |
| Q1 2024 | $40.4M | -7.5% |
POWW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $14M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +74 points |
| Q1 2026 | -21% | N/A |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +104 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | +46 points |
| Q2 2025 | -51% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | -89% | -84 points |
| Q3 2024 | -40% | -14 points |
| Q2 2024 | -34% | -29 points |
POWW has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over POWW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
POWW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.9M | -146% |
| Q4 2025 | $5M | +9049% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M | +$13.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.6M | -$5.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +128% |
| Q4 2024 | $55K | -99% |
| Q3 2024 | -$10.8M | -380% |
POWW's free cash flow has turned positive again: $9M over the past year, against −$14M the year before.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has the edge over POWW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
POWW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +6.9M shares |
| 1 year | +6.2% | +7.2M shares |
| 3 years | +5.4% | +6.3M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +15M shares |
| Available history | +173% | +78.6M shares |
POWW has 124M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $52,828 |
| Q1 2026 | $60,863 |
| Q4 2025 | $82,025 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $171,200 |
| Q1 2025 | $121,768 |
| Q4 2024 | $81,059 |
| Q3 2024 | $94,497 |
POWW has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
POWW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -215.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -14.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
POWW has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
POWW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.9 | Neutral |
POWW's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA has the edge over POWW on valuation relative to its sector.
POWW PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | POWW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 76x | 24x | 216% above |
| PE % | 89 | 58 | 31 pts above |
POWW is trading at 76x earnings, a 216% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
POWW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.30 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.25 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $2.07 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $1.78 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $1.89 | 21% above |
POWW has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
POWW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.08 | $3.64 | +237% |
| 2021 | $3.64 | $5.59 | +54% |
| 2022 | $5.59 | $1.70 | -70% |
| 2023 | $1.70 | $2.10 | +24% |
| 2024 | $2.10 | $1.06 | -50% |
| 2025 | $1.06 | $1.83 | +73% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.83 | $2.28 | +25% |
POWW has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.