BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over ONT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ONT

Onterris, Inc.

55
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

ONT offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ONT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Weak

ONT's profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ONT PE Valuation

ONT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over ONT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

ONT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ONT's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails ONT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+75%$40.46
Downside-43%$13.18

Calculated from the latest close: $23.08 on Nov 12.

ONT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over ONT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ONT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.33Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-0.92Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $0.15Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.20
Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-2.33Q2 2025: $-1.52Q3 2025: $-0.92Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $0.15Q2 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.20+$0.72
Q2 2026-$0.23+$1.29
Q1 2026$0.15+$2.48
Q4 2025-$0.14+$2.08
Q3 2023-$1.90-$0.62
Q2 2023-$1.84-$0.82
Q1 2023-$1.86-$0.53
Q4 2022-$1.62-$0.06

ONT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.20 per share over the past year, against $5.55 at its worst in late 2020.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over ONT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $235MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $203M
Q4 2023: $166MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $173MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $235MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $187MQ3 2026: $203M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$203M-9.7%
Q2 2026$186.7M-20%
Q1 2026$168.5M-5.2%
Q4 2025$193.3M+2.2%
Q3 2025$224.9M+26%
Q2 2025$234.5M+35%
Q1 2025$177.8M+14%
Q4 2024$189.1M+14%

ONT's revenue is shrinking: $203M last quarter, down 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over ONT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ONT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: $499,000Q3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: −$11MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: $499,000Q3 2026: $40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$40M+79%
Q2 2026$499K-97%
Q1 2026-$17.3M-836%
Q4 2025$46.5M+57%
Q3 2025$22.3M+118%
Q2 2025$19.9M+$31M
Q1 2025$2.4M+$30.4M
Q4 2024$29.7M+199%

ONT generated $70M in free cash flow over the past year, down 6.1% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

ONT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-681K shares
1 year-4.8%-1.9M shares
3 years+26%+7.9M shares
5 years+45%+11.8M shares
Available history+82%+17.1M shares

ONT has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over ONT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ONT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 15.7xQ2 2024: 8.5xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 13.1xQ1 2025: 12.3xQ2 2025: 7.5xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.0x
Q4 2023: 8.1xQ1 2024: 15.7xQ2 2024: 8.5xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 13.1xQ1 2025: 12.3xQ2 2025: 7.5xQ3 2025: 6.7xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.7xQ2 2026: 5.8xQ3 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.0xHigh
Q2 20265.8xHigh
Q1 20264.7xHigh
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20256.7xHigh
Q2 20257.5xHigh
Q1 202512.3xHigh
Q4 202413.1xHigh

ONT's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.7 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ONT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.6Neutral
Stochastic67.5Neutral

ONT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

ONT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricONTSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ONT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

ONT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.243% above
20 week MA$17.730% above
50 week MA$20.314% above
100 week MA$21.19.2% above
200 week MA$28.018% below

ONT has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

ONT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.4$32.1+43%
2021$32.1$71.6+123%
2022$71.6$43.5-39%
2023$43.5$32.1-26%
2024$32.1$17.5-46%
2025$17.5$26.0+49%
2026 YTD$26.0$23.1-11%

ONT has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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