BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over MTRX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MTRX

Matrix Service Company

57
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

MTRX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MTRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

MTRX's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over MTRX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTRX PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$9.26—
Cheap18x$4.65-50%
Fair19x$4.84-48%
Expensive22x$5.74-38%
Current36x$9.26—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTRX's PE is 36x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over MTRX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MTRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTRX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails MTRX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MTRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$12.34
Downside-25%$6.98

Calculated from the latest close: $9.26 on Nov 12.

MTRX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MTRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.76Q2 2024: $-0.91Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.22Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-1.06Q3 2025: $-0.86Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $0.67
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $-0.76Q2 2024: $-0.91Q3 2024: $-1.12Q4 2024: $-1.22Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $-1.06Q3 2025: $-0.86Q4 2025: $-0.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.09Q3 2026: $0.26Forward: $0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.67+156%
Q3 2026$0.26+$1.12
Q2 2026-$0.09+$0.97
Q1 2026-$0.54+$0.27
Q4 2025-$0.69+$0.53
Q3 2025-$0.86+$0.26
Q2 2025-$1.06-$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.81-$0.05
Q4 2024-$1.22-$0.52

MTRX has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $175MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $187MQ1 2025: $200MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $211MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $245MQ3 2026: $219M
Q4 2023: $175MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $189MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $187MQ1 2025: $200MQ2 2025: $216MQ3 2025: $212MQ4 2025: $211MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $245MQ3 2026: $219M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$219.4M+3.5%
Q2 2026$244.5M+13%
Q1 2026$206.7M+3.3%
Q4 2025$210.5M+12%
Q3 2025$211.9M+28%
Q2 2025$216.4M+14%
Q1 2025$200.2M+21%
Q4 2024$187.2M+6.9%

MTRX's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $219M last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over MTRX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MTRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: −$28MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$38M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $33MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: −$28MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$37.7M-$9.8M
Q2 2026-$10.2M-127%
Q1 2026$33.2M+16%
Q4 2025$6.3M-81%
Q3 2025-$27.9M-380%
Q2 2025$38.4M-16%
Q1 2025$28.7M+43%
Q4 2024$32.7M+12%

MTRX's free cash flow was −$8M over the past year, against $72M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

MTRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 28MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+200K shares
1 year+1.7%+487K shares
3 years+5.1%+1.4M shares
5 years+7.1%+1.9M shares
Available history+5.8%+1.6M shares

MTRX has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

MTRX Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -21.9x
Q3 2026: -21.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-21.9xNet Cash
Q1 2020-10.3xNet Cash
Q4 2019-3.7xNet Cash

MTRX has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MTRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic18.8Oversold

MTRX's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over MTRX on valuation relative to its sector.

MTRX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMTRXSector medianRelative
PE36x24x48% above

MTRX is trading at 36x earnings, a 48% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

MTRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.825.7% below
20 week MA$10.814% below
50 week MA$11.721% below
100 week MA$12.425% below
200 week MA$10.915% below

MTRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over MTRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MTRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.4$11.7-48%
2021$11.7$7.14-39%
2022$7.14$6.16-14%
2023$6.16$9.78+59%
2024$9.78$11.9+22%
2025$11.9$11.8-1.6%
2026 YTD$11.8$9.26-21%

MTRX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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