BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

74
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential83/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

HWM has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

HWM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

HWM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over HWM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HWM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x132x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x132x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap35x$177-21%
Forward35x$223—
Fair43x$221-1.1%
Current44x$223—
Expensive58x$297+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HWM's PE is in its fair range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 35x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HWM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HWM, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails HWM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HWM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$336.15
Downside-10%$200.33

Calculated from the latest close: $223.11 on Nov 12.

HWM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

HWM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.83Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.26Q3 2024: $2.62Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.55Q4 2025: $3.71Q1 2026: $4.31Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $5.11Forward: $6.31
Q4 2023: $1.83Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.26Q3 2024: $2.62Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $3.06Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.55Q4 2025: $3.71Q1 2026: $4.31Q2 2026: $4.64Q3 2026: $5.11Forward: $6.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.31+24%
Q3 2026$5.11+44%
Q2 2026$4.64+36%
Q1 2026$4.31+41%
Q4 2025$3.71+32%
Q3 2025$3.55+35%
Q2 2025$3.41+51%
Q1 2025$3.06+48%
Q4 2024$2.81+54%

HWM has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

HWM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+29%
Q2 2026$2.5B+24%
Q1 2026$2.3B+19%
Q4 2025$2.2B+15%
Q3 2025$2.1B+14%
Q2 2025$2.1B+9.2%
Q1 2025$1.9B+6.5%
Q4 2024$1.9B+9.2%

HWM's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $2.7B last quarter, up 29% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $16M over the past year.

HWM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $342MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $378MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $344MQ3 2025: $423MQ4 2025: $530MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $562M
Q4 2023: $403MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $342MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $378MQ1 2025: $134MQ2 2025: $344MQ3 2025: $423MQ4 2025: $530MQ1 2026: $359MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $562M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$562M+33%
Q2 2026$479M+39%
Q1 2026$359M+168%
Q4 2025$530M+40%
Q3 2025$423M+161%
Q2 2025$344M+0.6%
Q1 2025$134M+41%
Q4 2024$378M-6.2%

HWM generated $1.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 51% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

HWM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 416MQ1 2024: 412MQ2 2024: 411MQ3 2024: 410MQ4 2024: 410MQ1 2025: 407MQ2 2025: 406MQ3 2025: 405MQ4 2025: 406MQ1 2026: 403MQ2 2026: 402MQ3 2026: 400M
Q4 2023: 416MQ1 2024: 412MQ2 2024: 411MQ3 2024: 410MQ4 2024: 410MQ1 2025: 407MQ2 2025: 406MQ3 2025: 405MQ4 2025: 406MQ1 2026: 403MQ2 2026: 402MQ3 2026: 400M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2M shares
1 year-1.2%-5M shares
3 years-3.6%-15M shares
5 years-7.8%-34M shares
Available history-14%-63M shares

HWM has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

HWM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

HWM has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HWM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.8Neutral
Stochastic22.0Neutral

HWM's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over HWM on valuation relative to its sector.

HWM PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHWMSector medianRelative
PE44x24x81% above
PE %51587 pts below

HWM is trading at 44x earnings, a 81% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

HWM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$215.53.5% above
20 week MA$246.89.6% below
50 week MA$241.87.7% below
100 week MA$201.111% above
200 week MA$133.068% above

HWM has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

HWM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.1$27.4-12%
2021$27.4$31.1+14%
2022$31.1$39.1+25%
2023$39.1$54.1+39%
2024$54.1$111.2+106%
2025$111.2$211.2+90%
2026 YTD$211.2$223.1+5.6%

HWM has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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