BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over GBX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GBX

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.

31
Fundamentals17/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential20/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

GBX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GBX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Weak
Weak

GBX's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over GBX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GBX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1216x2432x3647x4863x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1216x2432x3647x4863x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$23.84-43%
Forward13x$41.91—
Fair15x$36.86-12%
Current17x$41.91—
Expensive40x$99.65+138%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBX's PE is in its fair range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over GBX on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GBX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GBX, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GBX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GBX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$47.55
Downside-55%$19.04

Calculated from the latest close: $41.91 on Nov 12.

GBX trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GBX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $4.96Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.25Q2 2025: $7.05Q3 2025: $6.35Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $4.68Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $3.20
Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.42Q2 2024: $3.84Q3 2024: $4.96Q4 2024: $5.72Q1 2025: $6.25Q2 2025: $7.05Q3 2025: $6.35Q4 2025: $5.77Q1 2026: $4.68Q2 2026: $3.42Q3 2026: $2.49Forward: $3.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.20+29%
Q3 2026$2.49-61%
Q2 2026$3.42-51%
Q1 2026$4.68-25%
Q4 2025$5.77+0.9%
Q3 2025$6.35+28%
Q2 2025$7.05+84%
Q1 2025$6.25+83%
Q4 2024$5.72+70%

GBX has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over GBX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GBX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $820MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $760MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $577MQ3 2026: $591M
Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $863MQ2 2024: $820MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $876MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $760MQ4 2025: $706MQ1 2026: $588MQ2 2026: $577MQ3 2026: $591M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$591M-22%
Q2 2026$576.5M-32%
Q1 2026$587.5M-23%
Q4 2025$706.1M-19%
Q3 2025$759.5M-28%
Q2 2025$842.7M+2.7%
Q1 2025$762.1M-12%
Q4 2024$875.9M+8.3%

GBX's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $591M last quarter, down 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over GBX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GBX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$124MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$286MQ3 2026: −$101M
Q4 2023: −$113MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: −$50MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: −$124MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $129MQ2 2026: −$286MQ3 2026: −$101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$100.6M-477%
Q2 2026-$286.4M-607%
Q1 2026$128.6M+389%
Q4 2025$18.7M+$142.9M
Q3 2025$26.7M-77%
Q2 2025$56.5M+$106.7M
Q1 2025$26.3M+$49.4M
Q4 2024-$124.2M-$11.2M

GBX's free cash flow was −$240M over the past year, against −$15M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

GBX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year-1.1%-367K shares
3 years-6%-2M shares
5 years-5.6%-1.9M shares
Available history-4.5%-1.5M shares

GBX has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over GBX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GBX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 4.8xQ3 2026: 5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.9xHigh
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

GBX's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

GBX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.5Neutral
Stochastic34.6Neutral

GBX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

GBX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGBXSector medianRelative
PE17x24x30% below
PE %5858Same percentile

GBX has the edge over BA on valuation relative to its sector.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

GBX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.24.4% above
20 week MA$44.04.8% below
50 week MA$47.812% below
100 week MA$48.914% below
200 week MA$46.49.7% below

GBX has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

GBX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.6$37.3+14%
2021$37.3$44.7+20%
2022$44.7$34.6-22%
2023$34.6$44.2+28%
2024$44.2$62.0+40%
2025$62.0$46.9-24%
2026 YTD$46.9$41.9-11%

GBX has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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