BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

EVLV

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.

59
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

EVLV has a slight edge over BA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

EVLV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Strong
Unavailable

EVLV's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

EVLV PE Valuation

EVLV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EVLV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect EVLV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails EVLV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EVLV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$5.92
Downside-29%$2.94

Calculated from the latest close: $4.16 on Nov 12.

EVLV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over EVLV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EVLV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.71Q1 2024: $-0.59Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.20Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.10
Q4 2023: $-0.71Q1 2024: $-0.59Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.35Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.55Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.20Q1 2026: $-0.22Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.10+$0.27
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.22+$0.06
Q4 2025-$0.20+$0.15
Q3 2025-$0.37-$0.03
Q2 2025-$0.55-$0.43
Q1 2025-$0.28+$0.31
Q4 2024-$0.35+$0.36

EVLV is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.10 per share over the past year, against $0.98 at its worst in mid-2023.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

EVLV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $47M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47.3M+10%
Q2 2026$43.8M+34%
Q1 2026$46.3M+45%
Q4 2025$38.5M+32%
Q3 2025$42.9M+57%
Q2 2025$32.5M+27%
Q1 2025$32M+48%
Q4 2024$29.1M+33%

EVLV has the edge over BA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over EVLV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EVLV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$22MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18M+410%
Q2 2026$11.9M+463%
Q1 2026-$3.2M-$640K
Q4 2025$15.6M+386%
Q3 2025$3.5M-9.8%
Q2 2025$2.1M+$24M
Q1 2025-$2.5M+$13.5M
Q4 2024$3.2M+$6.3M

EVLV has burned cash in most quarters: $42M over the past year, about seven times what it generated the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has the edge over EVLV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EVLV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 153MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 157MQ1 2025: 161MQ2 2025: 165MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 180MQ3 2026: 181M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 153MQ2 2024: 172MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 157MQ1 2025: 161MQ2 2025: 165MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 168MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 180MQ3 2026: 181M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+1.1M shares
1 year+4.8%+8.4M shares
3 years+4.1%+7.2M shares
5 years+26%+37M shares

EVLV has 181M diluted shares, up 4.8% from a year ago.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

EVLV Net Leverage

EVLV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

EVLV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

EVLV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

EVLV PE vs Industrials Sector

EVLV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

EVLV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.517.8% below
20 week MA$5.1119% below
50 week MA$5.7327% below
100 week MA$5.6226% below
200 week MA$4.8614% below

EVLV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over EVLV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

EVLV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.78$10.1+3.1%
2021$10.1$5.04-50%
2022$5.04$2.20-56%
2023$2.20$4.72+115%
2024$4.72$3.97-16%
2025$3.97$6.66+68%
2026 YTD$6.66$4.16-38%

EVLV's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2023 to −56% in 2022. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

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