BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over ERII overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ERII

Energy Recovery, Inc.

22
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential9/ 100
Risk potential83/ 100

ERII trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ERII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
Strong
Strong

ERII's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is weak.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over ERII in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ERII PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x92x137x183x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE46x92x137x183x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap33x$2.62-64%
Fair44x$3.49-51%
Expensive85x$6.82-4.8%
Current90x$7.17—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ERII's PE is in its expensive range at 90x.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over ERII on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

ERII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Turning to a loss
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ERII's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ERII, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ERII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+8%$7.73
Downside-83%$1.23

Calculated from the latest close: $7.17 on Nov 12.

ERII trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ERII Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.33Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.27Q3 2026: $0.08
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.36Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.36Q2 2025: $0.41Q3 2025: $0.33Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.27Q3 2026: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.08-76%
Q2 2026$0.27-34%
Q1 2026$0.37+2.8%
Q4 2025$0.42+5%
Q3 2025$0.33-2.9%
Q2 2025$0.41+14%
Q1 2025$0.36+5.9%
Q4 2024$0.40+8.1%

ERII has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over ERII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $39MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2M-65%
Q2 2026$12M-57%
Q1 2026$9.7M+20%
Q4 2025$66.9M-0.3%
Q3 2025$32M-17%
Q2 2025$28.1M+3.1%
Q1 2025$8.1M-33%
Q4 2024$67.1M+17%

ERII's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $11M last quarter, down 65% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over ERII on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ERII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$10M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $20MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.7M-$6.2M
Q2 2026$15.4M+285%
Q1 2026$20.2M+93%
Q4 2025$6.4M-28%
Q3 2025-$3.5M-$301K
Q2 2025$4M-49%
Q1 2025$10.5M+85%
Q4 2024$8.9M-29%

ERII usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$10M, but it generated $32M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

ERII Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-430K shares
1 year-4.6%-2.4M shares
3 years-12%-6.9M shares
5 years-13%-7.7M shares
Available history-9%-5M shares

ERII has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ERII Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -9.0x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.5xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -1.3xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -3.4xQ3 2026: -9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.3xNet Cash

ERII has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ERII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

ERII's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over ERII on valuation relative to its sector.

ERII PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricERIISector medianRelative
PE90x24x272% above
PE %875829 pts above

ERII is trading at 90x earnings, a 272% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

ERII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.884.2% above
20 week MA$7.666.4% below
50 week MA$10.129% below
100 week MA$12.342% below
200 week MA$15.855% below

ERII has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over ERII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ERII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.97$13.7+37%
2021$13.7$21.1+55%
2022$21.1$21.0-0.7%
2023$21.0$18.8-10%
2024$18.8$14.9-21%
2025$14.9$13.9-6.6%
2026 YTD$13.9$7.17-48%

ERII has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 48% so far in 2026.

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