BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CRS

Carpenter Technology Corporation

73
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

CRS has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CRS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

CRS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over CRS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE35x69x104x139x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$222-26%
Forward22x$300—
Current26x$300—
Fair38x$427+43%
Expensive50x$572+91%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRS's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CRS, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails CRS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CRS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$482.18
Downside-16%$252.56

Calculated from the latest close: $299.55 on Nov 12.

CRS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CRS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.88Q1 2024: $2.62Q2 2024: $3.70Q3 2024: $4.49Q4 2024: $5.30Q1 2025: $7.06Q2 2025: $7.42Q3 2025: $8.18Q4 2025: $8.61Q1 2026: $9.50Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.34Forward: $13.93
Q4 2023: $2.88Q1 2024: $2.62Q2 2024: $3.70Q3 2024: $4.49Q4 2024: $5.30Q1 2025: $7.06Q2 2025: $7.42Q3 2025: $8.18Q4 2025: $8.61Q1 2026: $9.50Q2 2026: $10.52Q3 2026: $11.34Forward: $13.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.93+23%
Q3 2026$11.34+39%
Q2 2026$10.52+42%
Q1 2026$9.50+35%
Q4 2025$8.61+62%
Q3 2025$8.18+82%
Q2 2025$7.42+101%
Q1 2025$7.06+169%
Q4 2024$5.30+84%

CRS has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over CRS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CRS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $624MQ1 2024: $685MQ2 2024: $799MQ3 2024: $718MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $756MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $851MQ3 2026: $798M
Q4 2023: $624MQ1 2024: $685MQ2 2024: $799MQ3 2024: $718MQ4 2024: $677MQ1 2025: $727MQ2 2025: $756MQ3 2025: $734MQ4 2025: $728MQ1 2026: $812MQ2 2026: $851MQ3 2026: $798M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$798.2M+8.8%
Q2 2026$851M+13%
Q1 2026$811.5M+12%
Q4 2025$728M+7.5%
Q3 2025$733.7M+2.2%
Q2 2025$755.6M-5.4%
Q1 2025$727M+6.1%
Q4 2024$676.9M+8.4%

CRS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $798M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over CRS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $39MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $39MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $200MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $155MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.9M-$21.5M
Q2 2026$155M-23%
Q1 2026$124.8M+267%
Q4 2025$85.9M+123%
Q3 2025-$3.4M-126%
Q2 2025$200.1M+41%
Q1 2025$34M-45%
Q4 2024$38.6M+$49.4M

CRS usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$25M, but it generated $341M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

CRS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 51MQ4 2024: 51MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-200K shares
1 year-0.8%-400K shares
3 years+0.2%+100K shares
5 years+3.1%+1.5M shares
Available history+3.1%+1.5M shares

CRS has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

CRS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.0xVery low

CRS has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CRS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.0Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

CRS's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over CRS on valuation relative to its sector.

CRS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCRSSector medianRelative
PE26x24x9.9% above
PE %225836 pts below

CRS is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

CRS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.711% below
20 week MA$448.133% below
50 week MA$420.429% below
100 week MA$326.68.3% below
200 week MA$206.445% above

CRS has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

CRS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.3$28.6-43%
2021$28.6$29.0+1.2%
2022$29.0$37.8+30%
2023$37.8$70.8+87%
2024$70.8$170.7+141%
2025$170.7$334.4+96%
2026 YTD$334.4$299.6-10%

CRS has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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