BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BWXT

BWX Technologies, Inc.

62
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

BWXT has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BWXT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BWXT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over BWXT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BWXT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$73.64-41%
Forward25x$124—
Fair28x$115-7.4%
Current30x$124—
Expensive44x$178+44%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWXT's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BWXT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWXT, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails BWXT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BWXT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$180.81
Downside-12%$109.18

Calculated from the latest close: $123.99 on Nov 12.

BWXT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

BWXT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.69Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.92Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.07Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.20Q3 2025: $3.33Q4 2025: $3.57Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $3.86Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $5.01
Q4 2023: $2.69Q1 2024: $2.77Q2 2024: $2.92Q3 2024: $3.02Q4 2024: $3.07Q1 2025: $3.14Q2 2025: $3.20Q3 2025: $3.33Q4 2025: $3.57Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $3.86Q3 2026: $4.08Forward: $5.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.01+23%
Q3 2026$4.08+23%
Q2 2026$3.86+21%
Q1 2026$3.74+19%
Q4 2025$3.57+16%
Q3 2025$3.33+10%
Q2 2025$3.20+9.6%
Q1 2025$3.14+13%
Q4 2024$3.07+14%

BWXT has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWXT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $726MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $681MQ3 2024: $672MQ4 2024: $746MQ1 2025: $682MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $866MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $860MQ2 2026: $902MQ3 2026: $953M
Q4 2023: $726MQ1 2024: $604MQ2 2024: $681MQ3 2024: $672MQ4 2024: $746MQ1 2025: $682MQ2 2025: $764MQ3 2025: $866MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $860MQ2 2026: $902MQ3 2026: $953M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$953M+10%
Q2 2026$901.6M+18%
Q1 2026$860.2M+26%
Q4 2025$885.8M+19%
Q3 2025$866.3M+29%
Q2 2025$764M+12%
Q1 2025$682.3M+13%
Q4 2024$746.3M+2.9%

BWXT's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $953M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over BWXT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWXT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $224MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $95MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $150M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $224MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $95MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $115MQ3 2026: $150M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$150.5M+59%
Q2 2026$115M-9%
Q1 2026$50.1M+190%
Q4 2025$56.8M-75%
Q3 2025$94.9M+$102.6M
Q2 2025$126.3M+256%
Q1 2025$17.3M+564%
Q4 2024$224.4M+31%

BWXT generated $372M in free cash flow over the past year, down 20% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

BWXT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 92MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 92MQ4 2024: 92MQ1 2025: 92MQ2 2025: 92MQ3 2025: 92MQ4 2025: 92MQ1 2026: 92MQ2 2026: 92MQ3 2026: 92M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-15.5K shares
1 year+0.2%+204K shares
3 years+0.1%+96.3K shares
5 years-2.6%-2.5M shares
Available history-4%-3.8M shares

BWXT has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

BWXT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 3.1xQ3 2025: 2.8xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20252.8xModerate
Q2 20253.1xElevated
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

BWXT has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BWXT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.5Neutral
Stochastic14.0Oversold

BWXT's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over BWXT on valuation relative to its sector.

BWXT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBWXTSector medianRelative
PE30x24x26% above
PE %54584 pts below

BWXT is trading at 30x earnings, a 26% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

BWXT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$132.06% below
20 week MA$152.819% below
50 week MA$181.832% below
100 week MA$160.623% below
200 week MA$122.80.9% above

BWXT has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over BWXT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BWXT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$62.8$60.1-4.2%
2021$60.1$47.9-20%
2022$47.9$58.2+22%
2023$58.2$76.7+32%
2024$76.7$112.5+47%
2025$112.5$175.9+56%
2026 YTD$175.9$124.0-30%

BWXT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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