BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over BLDR overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

BLDR

Builders FirstSource, Inc.

20
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential85/ 100

BLDR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BLDR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BLDR's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over BLDR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLDR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x89x133x178x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x89x133x178x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$2.82-95%
Fair14x$5.19-91%
Expensive21x$7.90-87%
Forward23x$60.12—
Current158x$60.12—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLDR's PE is in its expensive range at 158x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 23x.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over BLDR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BLDR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Stable
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect BLDR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLDR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLDR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$64.60
Downside-85%$9.00

Calculated from the latest close: $60.12 on Nov 12.

BLDR trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over BLDR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLDR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.94Q1 2024: $11.63Q2 2024: $11.34Q3 2024: $10.19Q4 2024: $9.06Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $5.25Q4 2025: $3.89Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $2.62
Q4 2023: $11.94Q1 2024: $11.63Q2 2024: $11.34Q3 2024: $10.19Q4 2024: $9.06Q1 2025: $7.80Q2 2025: $6.59Q3 2025: $5.25Q4 2025: $3.89Q1 2026: $2.62Q2 2026: $0.92Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $2.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.62+590%
Q3 2026$0.38-93%
Q2 2026$0.92-86%
Q1 2026$2.62-66%
Q4 2025$3.89-57%
Q3 2025$5.25-48%
Q2 2025$6.59-42%
Q1 2025$7.80-33%
Q4 2024$9.06-24%

BLDR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.38 over the past year, against $16.82 in late 2022.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over BLDR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLDR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $4.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $3.7BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3.4BQ1 2026: $3.3BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B-2.2%
Q2 2026$3.9B-8.8%
Q1 2026$3.3B-10%
Q4 2025$3.4B-12%
Q3 2025$3.9B-6.9%
Q2 2025$4.2B-5%
Q1 2025$3.7B-6%
Q4 2024$3.8B-8%

BLDR's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $3.9B last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over BLDR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLDR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $512MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $364MQ3 2024: $630MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $74M
Q4 2023: $512MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $364MQ3 2024: $630MQ4 2024: $274MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $252MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: $41MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $74M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$73.9M-84%
Q2 2026$30M-88%
Q1 2026$40.7M+26%
Q4 2025$106.7M-61%
Q3 2025$461.9M-27%
Q2 2025$252.3M-31%
Q1 2025$32.4M-86%
Q4 2024$273.8M-47%

BLDR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $251M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

BLDR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 129MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 114MQ2 2025: 111MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 112MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
Q4 2023: 129MQ1 2024: 123MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 119MQ1 2025: 114MQ2 2025: 111MQ3 2025: 111MQ4 2025: 112MQ1 2026: 110MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 108M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+71K shares
1 year-3%-3.3M shares
3 years-14%-18.2M shares
5 years-48%-98M shares
Available history-8%-9.4M shares

BLDR has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over BLDR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLDR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 5.1x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.1xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20263.7xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

BLDR's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BLDR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic48.0Neutral

BLDR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over BLDR on valuation relative to its sector.

BLDR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBLDRSector medianRelative
PE158x24x557% above
PE %995841 pts above

BLDR is trading at 158x earnings, a 557% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

BLDR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.42.9% above
20 week MA$65.58.3% below
50 week MA$83.328% below
100 week MA$106.243% below
200 week MA$126.552% below

BLDR has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over BLDR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLDR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.5$42.3+66%
2021$42.3$82.2+94%
2022$82.2$65.3-21%
2023$65.3$166.9+156%
2024$166.9$145.1-13%
2025$145.1$104.0-28%
2026 YTD$104.0$60.1-42%

BLDR has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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