AZN

AstraZeneca PLC

65
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

AZN has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AZN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

AZN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AZN PE Valuation

AZN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AZN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

AZN has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AZN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$226.41
Downside-18%$150.80

Calculated from the latest close: $184.38 on Nov 12.

AZN trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AZN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AZN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.79Q4 2023: $3.82Q1 2024: $4.06Q2 2024: $3.51Q3 2024: $3.54Q4 2024: $3.89Q1 2025: $4.36Q2 2025: $5.31Q3 2025: $6.02Q4 2025: $6.54Q1 2026: $6.64Q2 2026: $6.66
Q3 2023: $3.79Q4 2023: $3.82Q1 2024: $4.06Q2 2024: $3.51Q3 2024: $3.54Q4 2024: $3.89Q1 2025: $4.36Q2 2025: $5.31Q3 2025: $6.02Q4 2025: $6.54Q1 2026: $6.64Q2 2026: $6.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$6.66+25%
Q1 2026$6.64+52%
Q4 2025$6.54+68%
Q3 2025$6.02+70%
Q2 2025$5.31+51%
Q1 2025$4.36+7.4%
Q4 2024$3.89+1.8%
Q3 2024$3.54-6.6%

AZN earned $6.66 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

AZN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $11.5BQ4 2023: $12BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.9BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $14.9BQ1 2025: $13.6BQ2 2025: $14.5BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $15.5BQ1 2026: $15.3BQ2 2026: $15.4B
Q3 2023: $11.5BQ4 2023: $12BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.9BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $14.9BQ1 2025: $13.6BQ2 2025: $14.5BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $15.5BQ1 2026: $15.3BQ2 2026: $15.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$15.4B+6.4%
Q1 2026$15.3B+13%
Q4 2025$15.5B+4.1%
Q3 2025$15.2B+12%
Q2 2025$14.5B+12%
Q1 2025$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2024$14.9B+24%
Q3 2024$13.6B+18%

AZN's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $15.4B last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AZN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2.2BQ4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $881MQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.1B
Q3 2023: $2.2BQ4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $881MQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $3.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $2.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.1B+46%
Q1 2026$1.8B-34%
Q4 2025$1.4B-29%
Q3 2025$3.4B+68%
Q2 2025$1.5B-39%
Q1 2025$2.7B+211%
Q4 2024$2B+36%
Q3 2024$2B-9.4%

AZN generated $8.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.8% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over AZN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AZN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
Q3 2023: 1.6BQ4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year+0.1%+1M shares
3 years0%--
5 years+18%+242M shares
Available history+19%+248M shares

AZN has 1.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over AZN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AZN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.7xQ4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.3x
Q3 2023: 1.7xQ4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.7xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.7xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

AZN's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over AZN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AZN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic85.9Overbought

AZN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

AZN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAZNSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

AZN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

AZN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$172.17.1% above
20 week MA$169.48.9% above
50 week MA$181.21.8% above
100 week MA$165.112% above
200 week MA$153.420% above

AZN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

AZN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.9$97.9-3%
2021$97.9$115.0+18%
2022$115.0$136.4+19%
2023$136.4$134.4-1.4%
2024$134.4$132.0-1.8%
2025$132.0$181.3+37%
2026 YTD$181.3$184.4+1.7%

AZN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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