AYTU

Aytu BioPharma, Inc.

48
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

AYTU has a slight edge over NVO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AYTU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

AYTU's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AYTU PE Valuation

AYTU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AYTU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

AYTU has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AYTU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$2.38
Downside-25%$1.35

Calculated from the latest close: $1.79 on Nov 12.

AYTU trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AYTU, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AYTU Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-6.31Q4 2023: $-4.20Q1 2024: $-2.79Q2 2024: $-2.87Q3 2024: $-1.54Q4 2024: $-1.76Q1 2025: $-1.03Q2 2025: $-2.62Q3 2025: $-2.55Q4 2025: $-3.34Q1 2026: $-4.08Q2 2026: $-1.66
Q3 2023: $-6.31Q4 2023: $-4.20Q1 2024: $-2.79Q2 2024: $-2.87Q3 2024: $-1.54Q4 2024: $-1.76Q1 2025: $-1.03Q2 2025: $-2.62Q3 2025: $-2.55Q4 2025: $-3.34Q1 2026: $-4.08Q2 2026: $-1.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.66+$0.96
Q1 2026-$4.08-$3.05
Q4 2025-$3.34-$1.58
Q3 2025-$2.55-$1.01
Q2 2025-$2.62+$0.25
Q1 2025-$1.03+$1.76
Q4 2024-$1.76+$2.44
Q3 2024-$1.54+$4.77

AYTU is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.66 per share over the past year, against $85.40 at its worst in early 2022.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over AYTU on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AYTU Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $22MQ4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $16M
Q3 2023: $22MQ4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $18MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $16M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$16.1M+6.4%
Q1 2026$12.4M-33%
Q4 2025$15.2M-6.5%
Q3 2025$13.9M-16%
Q2 2025$15.1M-16%
Q1 2025$18.5M+2.6%
Q4 2024$16.2M-29%
Q3 2024$16.6M-25%

AYTU's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $16M last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over AYTU on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AYTU Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$211,000Q4 2023: −$135,000Q1 2024: −$254,000Q2 2024: −$788,000Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$618,000Q4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $4M
Q3 2023: −$211,000Q4 2023: −$135,000Q1 2024: −$254,000Q2 2024: −$788,000Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$618,000Q4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$4.4M+58%
Q1 2026-$4.2M+$2.3M
Q2 2025$2.8M+$3.6M
Q1 2025-$6.5M-$6.3M
Q2 2024-$788K-108%
Q1 2024-$254K+$2.7M
Q4 2023-$135K+$2.3M
Q3 2023-$211K+$8.9M

AYTU's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $3M over the past year.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over AYTU on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AYTU Total Shares

Q3 2023: 5MQ4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 12M
Q3 2023: 5MQ4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+17%+1.8M shares
1 year+50%+4.1M shares
3 years+296%+9.2M shares
5 years+6884%+12.1M shares

AYTU has 12M diluted shares, up 50% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over AYTU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AYTU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2024-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.8xNet Cash

AYTU has more cash than debt.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AYTU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.9Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

AYTU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

AYTU PE vs Healthcare Sector

AYTU has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

AYTU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.989.6% below
20 week MA$2.1216% below
50 week MA$2.3223% below
100 week MA$2.0814% below
200 week MA$2.2721% below

AYTU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has the edge over AYTU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AYTU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$196.0$122.4-38%
2021$122.4$30.4-75%
2022$30.4$3.80-88%
2023$3.80$2.84-25%
2024$2.84$1.52-46%
2025$1.52$2.45+61%
2026 YTD$2.45$1.79-27%

AYTU has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over AYTU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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