AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 99x earnings, about four times its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

QBTS

D-Wave Quantum Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score QBTS yet.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

QBTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

QBTS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54โ€”
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

QBTS PE Valuation

QBTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.

QBTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect QBTS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and QBTS's risk to reward.

QBTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $9.84 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and QBTS's risk to reward.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has the edge over QBTS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

QBTS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.41Q4 2025: $-1.11Q1 2026: $-1.14Q2 2026: $-0.72Q3 2026: $-0.44
Q3 2025: $-1.41Q4 2025: $-1.11Q1 2026: $-1.14Q2 2026: $-0.72Q3 2026: $-0.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.44+$0.97

QBTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.44 per share over the past year, against $1.41 at its worst in late 2025.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI has the edge over QBTS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QBTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $5M
Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $5M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.5M+21%
Q2 2026$3.1M-0.6%
Q1 2026$2.9M-81%
Q4 2025$2.8M+19%

QBTS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2025 peak: $5M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $79M over the past year.

QBTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$20MQ2 2025: โˆ’$16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$20MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20MQ1 2026: โˆ’$46MQ2 2026: โˆ’$33MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$20MQ2 2025: โˆ’$16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$20MQ4 2025: โˆ’$20MQ1 2026: โˆ’$46MQ2 2026: โˆ’$33MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$32.9M-$16.9M
Q1 2026-$46M-$26.3M
Q4 2025-$20M-1977%

QBTS and AXTI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.

QBTS Total Shares

Q1 2025: 286MQ2 2025: 302MQ3 2025: 342MQ4 2025: 321MQ1 2026: 367MQ2 2026: 371M
Q1 2025: 286MQ2 2025: 302MQ3 2025: 342MQ4 2025: 321MQ1 2026: 367MQ2 2026: 371M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+3.4M shares
1 year+23%+68.6M shares

QBTS has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has more cash than debt.

QBTS Net Leverage

QBTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

QBTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.7Neutral
Stochastic10.0Oversold

QBTS's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

QBTS PE vs Technology Sector

QBTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has the edge over QBTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QBTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.823% below
20 week MA$16.340% below
50 week MA$19.950% below
100 week MA$17.644% below
200 week MA$9.464% above

QBTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4% above its 200-week average.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over QBTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

QBTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$10.5+3.4%
2021$10.5$9.79-6.8%
2022$9.79$1.70-83%
2023$1.70$0.88-48%
2024$0.88$9.91+1026%
2025$9.91$25.3+155%
2026 YTD$25.3$9.84-61%

QBTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1026% in 2024 to โˆ’83% in 2022. It's down 61% so far in 2026.

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