AXTI
AXT, Inc.
AXTI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
ORCL has a slight edge over AXTI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
AXTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ORCL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.
AXTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $5.95 | -86% |
| Forward | 18x | $43.54 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $9.92 | -77% |
| Expensive | 96x | $42.09 | -3.3% |
| Current | 99x | $43.54 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ORCL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $127 | — |
| Cheap | 19x | $119 | -6.8% |
| Current | 20x | $127 | — |
| Fair | 30x | $189 | +49% |
| Expensive | 39x | $247 | +94% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ORCL has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AXTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
AXTI has the edge over ORCL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
ORCL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.
AXTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +445% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.44 | +$0.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.22 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.16 |
AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ORCL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.53 | +34% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.38 | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.83 | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.57 | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.32 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.32 | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.34 | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.26 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.09 | +13% |
ORCL has the edge over AXTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AXTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73.4M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M | +165% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $23M | -8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $28M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $18M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.4M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.1M | +23% |
AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | +47 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +7.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -31 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -7.1 points |
AXTI has the edge over ORCL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ORCL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.2B | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.1B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.9B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.9B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.1B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +8.6% |
ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 35% | +6.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 32% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +2 points |
ORCL's operating margin was 35% last quarter, up 6.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AXTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.7M | +$99M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.1M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.3M | -$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.9M | -949% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | +$9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -48% |
AXTI has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ORCL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$5.4B | -$5B |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.9B | +$1.1B |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.5B | -16275% |
| Q4 2025 | -$10B | -$7.3B |
| Q3 2025 | -$362M | -107% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.9B | -189% |
| Q1 2025 | $71M | -98% |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$1.7B |
ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.
AXTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +51% | +22.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +23.3M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +23.1M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +26.4M shares |
AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.
ORCL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3% | +86M shares |
| 1 year | +3.1% | +91M shares |
| 3 years | +6.3% | +177M shares |
| 5 years | +4.9% | +139M shares |
| Available history | -9.9% | -331M shares |
ORCL has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $95M |
| Q2 2025 | $150M |
| Q1 2025 | $150M |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
| Q3 2024 | $150M |
AXTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -24.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | 93.9x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
AXTI has the edge over ORCL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ORCL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
ORCL has more cash than debt.
AXTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
ORCL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 23.0 | Neutral |
ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
AXTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AXTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 28x | 255% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ORCL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ORCL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 28% below |
| PE % | 28 | 35 | 7 pts below |
ORCL has the edge over AXTI on valuation relative to its sector.
AXTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.3 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.9 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.0 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.5 | 43% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 159% above |
AXTI has the edge over ORCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ORCL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $131.1 | 3.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $137.6 | 7.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $160.3 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.4 | 30% below |
| 200 week MA | $151.9 | 16% below |
ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.
AXTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.04 | $9.64 | +139% |
| 2021 | $9.64 | $8.80 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $8.80 | $4.40 | -50% |
| 2023 | $4.40 | $2.40 | -45% |
| 2024 | $2.40 | $2.28 | -5% |
| 2025 | $2.28 | $15.4 | +574% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $43.5 | +183% |
AXTI has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ORCL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.5 | $65.0 | +22% |
| 2021 | $65.0 | $89.7 | +38% |
| 2022 | $89.7 | $80.9 | -9.9% |
| 2023 | $80.9 | $105.4 | +30% |
| 2024 | $105.4 | $169.0 | +60% |
| 2025 | $169.0 | $198.0 | +17% |
| 2026 YTD | $198.0 | $127.1 | -36% |
ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.