AXTI
AXT, Inc.
AXTI has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
ONDS
Ondas Holdings Inc.
ONDS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AXTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ONDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AXTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $5.95 | -86% |
| Forward | 18x | $43.54 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $9.92 | -77% |
| Expensive | 96x | $42.09 | -3.3% |
| Current | 99x | $43.54 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ONDS PE Valuation
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AXTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
ONDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
AXTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +445% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.44 | +$0.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.22 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.16 |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ONDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.62 | -$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.31 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.53 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.61 | +$0.27 |
ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.
AXTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73.4M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M | +165% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $23M | -8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $28M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $18M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.4M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.1M | +23% |
AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | +47 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +7.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -31 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -7.1 points |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ONDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $167.5M | +1559% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.8M | +1235% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +1080% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.1M | +629% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.1M | +582% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M | +555% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +580% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -17% |
ONDS has the edge over AXTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -113% | +40 points |
| Q2 2026 | -195% | -47 points |
| Q1 2026 | -85% | +158 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +129 points |
| Q3 2025 | -154% | +431 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | +720 points |
| Q1 2025 | -243% | +1218 points |
| Q4 2024 | -206% | +49 points |
ONDS's operating margin was −113% last quarter, up 40 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AXTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.7M | +$99M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.1M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.3M | -$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.9M | -949% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | +$9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -48% |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ONDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$150.8M | -$139.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$93.8M | -$85.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$52.6M | -$45.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.3M | -$6.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | -$2.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.5M | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.8M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.1M | -$2.1M |
ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.
AXTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +51% | +22.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +23.3M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +23.1M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +26.4M shares |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ONDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +23% | +114M shares |
| 1 year | +489% | +513M shares |
| 3 years | +1363% | +576M shares |
| 5 years | +2983% | +598M shares |
ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.
AXTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -24.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | 93.9x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
AXTI has more cash than debt.
ONDS Net Leverage
ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AXTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
ONDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
AXTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AXTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 28x | 255% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ONDS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ONDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AXTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.3 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.9 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.0 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.5 | 43% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 159% above |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ONDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.35 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.23 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.92 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.08 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.57 | 49% above |
ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.
AXTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.04 | $9.64 | +139% |
| 2021 | $9.64 | $8.80 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $8.80 | $4.40 | -50% |
| 2023 | $4.40 | $2.40 | -45% |
| 2024 | $2.40 | $2.28 | -5% |
| 2025 | $2.28 | $15.4 | +574% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $43.5 | +183% |
AXTI has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ONDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $18.0 | $18.0 | 0% |
| 2020 | $18.0 | $7.65 | -57% |
| 2021 | $7.65 | $7.16 | -6.4% |
| 2022 | $7.16 | $1.69 | -76% |
| 2023 | $1.69 | $1.53 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $1.53 | $2.59 | +69% |
| 2025 | $2.59 | $8.48 | +227% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $5.32 | -37% |
ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.