AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 99x earnings, about four times its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

OKLO

Oklo Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OKLO yet.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

OKLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

OKLO's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54โ€”
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

OKLO PE Valuation

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.

OKLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OKLO's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and OKLO's risk to reward.

OKLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $24.45 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and OKLO's risk to reward.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has the edge over OKLO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

OKLO Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.41Q3 2025: $-0.53Q4 2025: $-0.72Q1 2026: $-0.84Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.96-$0.43
Q2 2026-$0.94-$0.53
Q1 2026-$0.84-$0.32

OKLO lost $0.96 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.

OKLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M

OKLO and AXTI do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI has the edge over OKLO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OKLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: โˆ’$8MQ4 2024: โˆ’$14MQ1 2025: โˆ’$13MQ2 2025: โˆ’$19MQ3 2025: โˆ’$23MQ4 2025: โˆ’$60MQ1 2026: โˆ’$51MQ2 2026: โˆ’$142MQ3 2026: โˆ’$199M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$199.5M-$176.4M
Q2 2026-$141.7M-$122.3M
Q1 2026-$50.7M-$38.1M
Q4 2025-$60.4M-$46.8M
Q3 2025-$23.1M-$15.1M

OKLO has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$452M over the past year, against โˆ’$69M the year before.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.

OKLO Total Shares

Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
Q2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 122MQ1 2025: 138MQ2 2025: 140MQ3 2025: 150MQ4 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 176MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7%+12.4M shares
1 year+25%+38.2M shares

OKLO has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has more cash than debt.

OKLO Net Leverage

OKLO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

OKLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.2Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

OKLO's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

OKLO PE vs Utilities Sector

OKLO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has the edge over OKLO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OKLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.517% below
20 week MA$37.435% below
50 week MA$56.657% below
100 week MA$59.459% below
200 week MA$35.231% below

OKLO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over OKLO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OKLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.1$9.79-2.6%
2022$9.79$9.88+0.9%
2023$9.88$10.6+6.9%
2024$10.6$22.8+116%
2025$22.8$76.9+238%
2026 YTD$76.9$24.5-68%

OKLO is down 68% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous five years.

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