AXTI
AXT, Inc.
AXTI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NOK
Nokia Oyj
NOK has a slight edge over AXTI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
AXTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
NOK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
NOK's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
AXTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $5.95 | -86% |
| Forward | 18x | $43.54 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $9.92 | -77% |
| Expensive | 96x | $42.09 | -3.3% |
| Current | 99x | $43.54 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NOK PE Valuation
NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AXTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.
NOK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NOK, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AXTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +445% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.44 | +$0.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.22 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.16 |
AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
NOK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.15 | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.14 | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.16 | +220% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.13 | -13% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.09 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.11 | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.05 | -69% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.15 | +15% |
NOK has the edge over AXTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AXTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73.4M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M | +165% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $23M | -8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $28M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $18M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.4M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.1M | +23% |
AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | +47 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +7.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -31 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -7.1 points |
AXTI has the edge over NOK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NOK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7B | +6.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.3B | +5.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $5B | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.8B | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1B | +1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.9B | -1.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.6B | +4.9% |
NOK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $5.7B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1% | -2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.1% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8% | -7.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1% | -10 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9% | -1.6 points |
NOK's operating margin was 17% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AXTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.7M | +$99M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.1M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.3M | -$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.9M | -949% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | +$9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -48% |
AXTI has the edge over NOK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NOK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$112M | -123% |
| Q2 2026 | -$832.1M | -951% |
| Q1 2026 | $698.8M | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $252.2M | +354% |
| Q3 2025 | $476.6M | -37% |
| Q2 2025 | $97.8M | -78% |
| Q1 2025 | $801M | -25% |
| Q4 2024 | $55.5M | -97% |
NOK usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$112M, but it generated $7M over the past year.
AXTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +51% | +22.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +23.3M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +23.1M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +26.4M shares |
AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.
NOK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -56.5M shares |
| 1 year | +4.7% | +257M shares |
| 3 years | +2.6% | +148M shares |
| 5 years | +0.9% | +54M shares |
| Available history | +2.2% | +123M shares |
NOK has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $10M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $86.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $606.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $428.8M |
NOK has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
AXTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -24.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | 93.9x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
AXTI has the edge over NOK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NOK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
NOK has more cash than debt.
AXTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
NOK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.3 | Oversold |
NOK's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
AXTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AXTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 28x | 255% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NOK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NOK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
NOK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AXTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.3 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.9 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.0 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.5 | 43% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 159% above |
AXTI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 159% above its 200-week average.
NOK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.14 | 9.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $9.92 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.66 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $7.35 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $5.67 | 46% above |
NOK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.
AXTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.04 | $9.64 | +139% |
| 2021 | $9.64 | $8.80 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $8.80 | $4.40 | -50% |
| 2023 | $4.40 | $2.40 | -45% |
| 2024 | $2.40 | $2.28 | -5% |
| 2025 | $2.28 | $15.4 | +574% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $43.5 | +183% |
AXTI has the edge over NOK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NOK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.63 | $3.89 | +7.2% |
| 2021 | $3.89 | $6.19 | +59% |
| 2022 | $6.19 | $4.64 | -25% |
| 2023 | $4.64 | $3.42 | -26% |
| 2024 | $3.42 | $4.48 | +31% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $6.62 | +48% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.62 | $8.28 | +25% |
NOK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.