AXTI
AXT, Inc.
AXTI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 99x earnings, about four times its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
There isn't enough reported data to score NBIS yet.
AXTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
NBIS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable | |
| Healthy |
NBIS's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.
AXTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $5.95 | -86% |
| Forward | 18x | $43.54 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $9.92 | -77% |
| Expensive | 96x | $42.09 | -3.3% |
| Current | 99x | $43.54 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXTI has the edge over NBIS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NBIS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 68x | $22.45 | -83% |
| Fair | 114x | $37.67 | -71% |
| Current | 390x | $129 | — |
| Expensive | 666x | $220 | +71% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NBIS's PE is 390x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AXTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
AXTI has the edge over NBIS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
NBIS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NBIS's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AXTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +445% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.44 | +$0.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.22 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.16 |
AXTI has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
NBIS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $0.33 | +$2.61 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.28 | -456% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.64 | -36% |
| Q4 2022 | $1.00 | +$1.49 |
| Q4 2021 | -$0.49 | -156% |
| Q4 2020 | $0.87 | +89% |
| Q4 2019 | $0.46 | -73% |
| Q4 2018 | $1.71 | +434% |
NBIS has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
AXTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73.4M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M | +165% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $23M | -8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $28M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $18M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.4M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.1M | +23% |
AXTI has the edge over NBIS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | +47 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +7.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -31 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -7.1 points |
AXTI's operating margin was 39% last quarter, up 43 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
NBIS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | $9.7B | +53% |
| Q4 2022 | $6.3B | +46% |
| Q4 2021 | $4.3B | +63% |
| Q4 2020 | $2.6B | +24% |
| Q4 2019 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q4 2018 | $1.5B | +36% |
| Q4 2017 | $1.1B | +24% |
| Q4 2016 | $917M | +27% |
NBIS's revenue is growing: $530M last quarter, down 80% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -115% | -112 points |
| Q4 2023 | 3.6% | -11 points |
| Q4 2022 | 2.5% | -14 points |
| Q4 2021 | -3.7% | -18 points |
| Q4 2020 | 7.4% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2019 | 14% | -2 points |
| Q4 2018 | 16% | -14 points |
| Q4 2017 | 14% | -19 points |
NBIS's operating margin was −115% last quarter, down 123 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2011.
AXTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.7M | +$99M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.1M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.3M | -$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.9M | -949% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | +$9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -48% |
AXTI's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $79M over the past year.
NBIS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | -$3.7B | -$3.1B |
| Q4 2024 | -$562.1M | -$316.2M |
| Q4 2023 | -$245.9M | -$138.9M |
| Q4 2022 | -$107M | +$319.7M |
| Q4 2021 | -$426.7M | -539% |
| Q4 2020 | $97.3M | -66% |
| Q4 2019 | $287.9M | +$289.2M |
| Q4 2018 | -$1.3M | -101% |
NBIS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$4.6B over the past year, against −$43M the year before.
AXTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +51% | +22.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +23.3M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +23.1M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +26.4M shares |
AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.
NBIS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -12% | -33.3M shares |
| 1 year | -32% | -115M shares |
| 3 years | -26% | -86.9M shares |
NBIS has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $10M |
| Q4 2021 | $84.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2019 | $17.2M |
| Q4 2018 | $121.8M |
| Q4 2014 | $101.7M |
| Q4 2013 | $102.9M |
AXTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -24.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | 93.9x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
AXTI has more cash than debt.
NBIS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2022 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
NBIS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AXTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
NBIS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
NBIS's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
AXTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AXTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 28x | 255% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
AXTI has the edge over NBIS on valuation relative to its sector.
NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | NBIS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 390x | 16x | 2,264% above |
| PE % | 62 | 24 | 38 pts above |
NBIS is trading at 390x earnings, a 2264% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.
AXTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.3 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.9 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.0 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.5 | 43% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 159% above |
AXTI has stronger trend alignment. AXTI is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus NBIS above 1 of 4.
NBIS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $179.7 | 28% below |
| 20 week MA | $199.9 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $163.5 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $110.0 | 17% above |
NBIS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 17% above its 100-week average.
AXTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.04 | $9.64 | +139% |
| 2021 | $9.64 | $8.80 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $8.80 | $4.40 | -50% |
| 2023 | $4.40 | $2.40 | -45% |
| 2024 | $2.40 | $2.28 | -5% |
| 2025 | $2.28 | $15.4 | +574% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $43.5 | +183% |
AXTI has the edge over NBIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NBIS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $19.6 | $27.3 | +40% |
| 2025 | $27.3 | $87.6 | +221% |
| 2026 YTD | $87.6 | $128.6 | +47% |
NBIS has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's up 47% so far in 2026.