AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 99x earnings, about four times its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

IONQ

IonQ, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score IONQ yet.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IONQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Unavailable

IONQ's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54โ€”
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

IONQ PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current33x$30.86โ€”
Cheap86x$80.61+161%
Fair126x$119+285%
Expensive147x$138+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IONQ has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.

IONQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IONQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and IONQ's risk to reward.

IONQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $30.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and IONQ's risk to reward.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has the edge over IONQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IONQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.94+$6.31
Q2 2026-$3.99-$1.96
Q1 2026$0.39+$1.90
Q4 2025-$1.82-$0.26
Q3 2025-$5.37-$4.56
Q2 2025-$2.03-$1.24
Q1 2025-$1.51-$0.68
Q4 2024-$1.56-$0.78

IONQ has returned to profit: it earned $0.94 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.

IONQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$173.8M+336%
Q2 2026$80.1M+287%
Q1 2026$64.7M+755%
Q4 2025$61.9M+429%
Q3 2025$39.9M+222%
Q2 2025$20.7M+82%
Q1 2025$7.6M-0.2%
Q4 2024$11.7M+92%

IONQ has the edge over AXTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI has the edge over IONQ on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IONQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$34MQ1 2024: โˆ’$24MQ2 2024: โˆ’$34MQ3 2024: โˆ’$23MQ4 2024: โˆ’$43MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: โˆ’$54MQ3 2025: โˆ’$127MQ4 2025: โˆ’$83MQ1 2026: โˆ’$159MQ2 2026: โˆ’$114MQ3 2026: โˆ’$332M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$331.9M-$204.7M
Q2 2026-$114M-$60.2M
Q1 2026-$159.4M-$124.1M
Q4 2025-$83.3M-$40.3M
Q3 2025-$127.2M-$104.2M
Q2 2025-$53.8M-$19.7M
Q1 2025-$35.3M-$11.7M
Q4 2024-$43M-$9.2M

IONQ has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$689M over the past year, against โˆ’$259M the year before.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has the edge over IONQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IONQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+33.2M shares
1 year+60%+150M shares
3 years+99%+199M shares
5 years+108%+208M shares

IONQ has 401M diluted shares, up 60% from a year ago.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has more cash than debt.

IONQ Net Leverage

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

IONQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

IONQ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IONQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIONQSector medianRelative
PE33x28x18% above

IONQ has the edge over AXTI on valuation relative to its sector.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has the edge over IONQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IONQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.713% below
20 week MA$38.620% below
50 week MA$42.427% below
100 week MA$42.227% below
200 week MA$26.815% above

IONQ has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over IONQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IONQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.0$17.9+62%
2022$17.9$3.30-82%
2023$3.30$12.4+275%
2024$12.4$45.5+267%
2025$45.5$46.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$46.0$30.9-33%

IONQ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to โˆ’82% in 2022. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

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