AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

GOOGL has a slight edge over AXTI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

GOOGL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Under pressure
Healthy

GOOGL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54—
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

GOOGL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current16x$299—
Cheap20x$378+27%
Forward22x$299—
Fair26x$497+66%
Expensive31x$586+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOGL has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

AXTI has the edge over GOOGL on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

GOOGL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GOOGL, but weaker profitability.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

AXTI trails GOOGL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOGL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$405.17
Downside-13%$260.15

Calculated from the latest close: $298.70 on Nov 12.

GOOGL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AXTI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

GOOGL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $6.97Q3 2024: $7.54Q4 2024: $8.04Q1 2025: $8.96Q2 2025: $9.38Q3 2025: $10.13Q4 2025: $10.81Q1 2026: $13.11Q2 2026: $19.91Q3 2026: $19.16Forward: $13.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.89-28%
Q3 2026$19.16+89%
Q2 2026$19.91+112%
Q1 2026$13.11+46%
Q4 2025$10.81+34%
Q3 2025$10.13+34%
Q2 2025$9.38+35%
Q1 2025$8.96+37%
Q4 2024$8.04+39%

GOOGL has the edge over AXTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOGL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
Q4 2023: $86.3BQ1 2024: $80.5BQ2 2024: $84.7BQ3 2024: $88.3BQ4 2024: $96.5BQ1 2025: $90.2BQ2 2025: $96.4BQ3 2025: $102BQ4 2025: $114BQ1 2026: $110BQ2 2026: $120BQ3 2026: $128B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$127.6B+25%
Q2 2026$119.8B+24%
Q1 2026$109.9B+22%
Q4 2025$113.8B+18%
Q3 2025$102.3B+16%
Q2 2025$96.4B+14%
Q1 2025$90.2B+12%
Q4 2024$96.5B+12%

GOOGL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $128B last quarter, up 25% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI has the edge over GOOGL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOGL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
Q4 2023: $7.9BQ1 2024: $16.8BQ2 2024: $13.5BQ3 2024: $17.6BQ4 2024: $24.8BQ1 2025: $19BQ2 2025: $5.3BQ3 2025: $24.5BQ4 2025: $24.6BQ1 2026: $10.1BQ2 2026: −$5.9BQ3 2026: −$9.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$9.1B-137%
Q2 2026-$5.9B-210%
Q1 2026$10.1B-47%
Q4 2025$24.6B-1.2%
Q3 2025$24.5B+39%
Q2 2025$5.3B-61%
Q1 2025$19B+13%
Q4 2024$24.8B+215%

GOOGL usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$9.1B, but it generated $19.7B over the past year.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.

GOOGL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
Q4 2023: 12.4BQ1 2024: 12.4BQ2 2024: 12.5BQ3 2024: 12.4BQ4 2024: 12.4BQ1 2025: 12.3BQ2 2025: 12.2BQ3 2025: 12.2BQ4 2025: 12.2BQ1 2026: 12.2BQ2 2026: 12.3BQ3 2026: 12.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+59M shares
1 year+1.4%+165M shares
3 years-1.2%-148M shares
5 years-6.8%-907M shares
Available history-10%-1.4B shares

GOOGL has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has the edge over GOOGL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOGL Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

GOOGL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

GOOGL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

GOOGL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

GOOGL PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricGOOGLSector medianRelative
PE16x16x6% below
PE %12625 pts below

GOOGL has the edge over AXTI on valuation relative to its sector.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 159% above its 200-week average.

GOOGL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$320.46.8% below
20 week MA$336.111% below
50 week MA$334.511% below
100 week MA$267.812% above
200 week MA$204.746% above

GOOGL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over GOOGL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GOOGL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$67.7$86.7+28%
2021$86.7$146.9+69%
2022$146.9$89.2-39%
2023$89.2$139.7+57%
2024$139.7$192.8+38%
2025$192.8$313.5+63%
2026 YTD$313.5$298.7-4.7%

GOOGL has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 4.7% so far in 2026.

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