AXTI
AXT, Inc.
AXTI's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
DDOG has the edge over AXTI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
AXTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
DDOG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AXTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $5.95 | -86% |
| Forward | 18x | $43.54 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $9.92 | -77% |
| Expensive | 96x | $42.09 | -3.3% |
| Current | 99x | $43.54 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
DDOG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 62x | $184 | — |
| Cheap | 251x | $181 | -2.1% |
| Current | 256x | $184 | — |
| Fair | 379x | $273 | +48% |
| Expensive | 621x | $447 | +142% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DDOG has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AXTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
AXTI has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
DDOG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AXTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +445% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.44 | +$0.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.22 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.16 |
AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
DDOG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +315% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.72 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.50 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.39 | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.36 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.52 | +271% |
DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
AXTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73.4M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M | +165% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $23M | -8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $28M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $18M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.4M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.1M | +23% |
AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | +47 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +7.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -31 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -7.1 points |
AXTI has the edge over DDOG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DDOG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $953.2M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $885.7M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $826.8M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $761.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $737.7M | +25% |
DDOG has the edge over AXTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.3% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -3.4 points |
DDOG's operating margin was 6.2% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
AXTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.7M | +$99M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.1M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.3M | -$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.9M | -949% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | +$9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -48% |
AXTI's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $79M over the past year.
DDOG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $306M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $323.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $318.2M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $234.7M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.8M | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $257.5M | +23% |
DDOG has the edge over AXTI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AXTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +51% | +22.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +23.3M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +23.1M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +26.4M shares |
AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.
DDOG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4M shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +13M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +23.7M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +64.8M shares |
| Available history | +14% | +47.2M shares |
DDOG has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
AXTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -24.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | 93.9x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
AXTI has the edge over DDOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DDOG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 7.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 18.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 123.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 94.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
AXTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
DDOG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.7 | Oversold |
DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
AXTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AXTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 28x | 255% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
AXTI has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.
DDOG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DDOG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 256x | 28x | 820% above |
| PE % | 19 | 35 | 16 pts below |
DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
AXTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.3 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.9 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.0 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.5 | 43% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 159% above |
AXTI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 159% above its 200-week average.
DDOG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.3 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $243.6 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $189.3 | 2.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $161.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $134.5 | 37% above |
DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
AXTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.04 | $9.64 | +139% |
| 2021 | $9.64 | $8.80 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $8.80 | $4.40 | -50% |
| 2023 | $4.40 | $2.40 | -45% |
| 2024 | $2.40 | $2.28 | -5% |
| 2025 | $2.28 | $15.4 | +574% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $43.5 | +183% |
AXTI has the edge over DDOG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
DDOG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $106.3 | +194% |
| 2021 | $106.3 | $180.4 | +70% |
| 2022 | $180.4 | $72.4 | -60% |
| 2023 | $72.4 | $121.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $146.0 | +20% |
| 2025 | $146.0 | $138.3 | -5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.3 | $184.5 | +33% |
DDOG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +194% in 2020 to −60% in 2022. It's up 33% so far in 2026.