AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CRM

Salesforce, Inc.

67
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CRM has the edge over AXTI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

CRM's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54—
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CRM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1067x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1067x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current20x$218—
Cheap36x$393+80%
Fair70x$766+252%
Expensive293x$3,206+1374%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRM has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.

CRM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for CRM to show an outlook.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

AXTI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$266.42
Downside-26%$160.73

Calculated from the latest close: $217.57 on Nov 12.

CRM trails AXTI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.63Q1 2024: $4.20Q2 2024: $5.56Q3 2024: $5.75Q4 2024: $6.08Q1 2025: $6.36Q2 2025: $6.39Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $7.49Q1 2026: $7.80Q2 2026: $8.63Q3 2026: $10.96
Q4 2023: $2.63Q1 2024: $4.20Q2 2024: $5.56Q3 2024: $5.75Q4 2024: $6.08Q1 2025: $6.36Q2 2025: $6.39Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $7.49Q1 2026: $7.80Q2 2026: $8.63Q3 2026: $10.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$10.96+59%
Q2 2026$8.63+35%
Q1 2026$7.80+23%
Q4 2025$7.49+23%
Q3 2025$6.88+20%
Q2 2025$6.39+15%
Q1 2025$6.36+51%
Q4 2024$6.08+131%

CRM has the edge over AXTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $9.3BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.3BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $9.8BQ3 2025: $10.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $11.3B
Q4 2023: $8.7BQ1 2024: $9.3BQ2 2024: $9.1BQ3 2024: $9.3BQ4 2024: $9.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $9.8BQ3 2025: $10.2BQ4 2025: $10.3BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.1BQ3 2026: $11.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.3B+11%
Q2 2026$11.1B+13%
Q1 2026$11.2B+12%
Q4 2025$10.3B+8.6%
Q3 2025$10.2B+9.8%
Q2 2025$9.8B+7.6%
Q1 2025$10B+7.6%
Q4 2024$9.4B+8.3%

CRM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $11.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $79M over the past year.

CRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $6.1BQ3 2024: $755MQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $605MQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $6.1BQ3 2024: $755MQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $605MQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+81%
Q2 2026$6.6B+4.1%
Q1 2026$5.3B+39%
Q4 2025$2.2B+22%
Q3 2025$605M-20%
Q2 2025$6.3B+3.5%
Q1 2025$3.8B+17%
Q4 2024$1.8B+30%

CRM has the edge over AXTI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.

CRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 981MQ1 2024: 984MQ2 2024: 985MQ3 2024: 973MQ4 2024: 965MQ1 2025: 974MQ2 2025: 970MQ3 2025: 962MQ4 2025: 952MQ1 2026: 956MQ2 2026: 871MQ3 2026: 821M
Q4 2023: 981MQ1 2024: 984MQ2 2024: 985MQ3 2024: 973MQ4 2024: 965MQ1 2025: 974MQ2 2025: 970MQ3 2025: 962MQ4 2025: 952MQ1 2026: 956MQ2 2026: 871MQ3 2026: 821M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.7%-50M shares
1 year-15%-141M shares
3 years-17%-165M shares
5 years-14%-129M shares
Available history-6.6%-58M shares

CRM has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has the edge over CRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CRM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20240.0xVery low

CRM's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

CRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.7Neutral
Stochastic44.2Neutral

CRM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CRM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRMSector medianRelative
PE20x28x29% below
PE %23533 pts below

CRM has the edge over AXTI on valuation relative to its sector.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 159% above its 200-week average.

CRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$230.95.8% below
20 week MA$214.71.3% above
50 week MA$206.85.2% above
100 week MA$239.79.2% below
200 week MA$242.010% below

CRM's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 10% below its 200-week average.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over CRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$165.0$225.8+37%
2021$225.8$253.1+12%
2022$253.1$129.4-49%
2023$129.4$263.1+103%
2024$263.1$338.5+29%
2025$338.5$266.1-21%
2026 YTD$266.1$217.6-18%

CRM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

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