AXTI
AXT, Inc.
AXTI's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
CRDO has the edge over AXTI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
AXTI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
CRDO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CRDO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AXTI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 14x | $5.95 | -86% |
| Forward | 18x | $43.54 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $9.92 | -77% |
| Expensive | 96x | $42.09 | -3.3% |
| Current | 99x | $43.54 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CRDO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $140 | — |
| Current | 49x | $140 | — |
| Cheap | 75x | $212 | +52% |
| Fair | 124x | $353 | +152% |
| Expensive | 395x | $1,122 | +703% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRDO has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AXTI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.
CRDO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRDO, with profitability improving.
AXTI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.40 | +445% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.44 | +$0.95 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.01 | +$0.55 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.10 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.22 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.51 | -$0.26 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.54 | -$0.22 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.42 | -$0.02 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.27 | +$0.16 |
AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
CRDO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.35 | +194% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.84 | +312% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.51 | +766% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.82 | +18100% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.16 | +$1.31 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.69 | +$0.85 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.29 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.01 | +$0.24 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.15 | +$0.06 |
CRDO has the edge over AXTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AXTI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73.4M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M | +165% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $23M | -8.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $28M | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $18M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.4M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.1M | +23% |
AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +43 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +59 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5.9% | +47 points |
| Q4 2025 | -17% | +7.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4% | +10 points |
| Q2 2025 | -38% | -31 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -7.1 points |
AXTI has the edge over CRDO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CRDO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $479M | +115% |
| Q2 2026 | $437M | +157% |
| Q1 2026 | $407M | +201% |
| Q4 2025 | $268M | +272% |
| Q3 2025 | $223.1M | +274% |
| Q2 2025 | $170M | +180% |
| Q1 2025 | $135M | +154% |
| Q4 2024 | $72M | +64% |
CRDO has the edge over AXTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | -2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 36% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +17 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +41 points |
| Q3 2025 | 27% | +51 points |
| Q2 2025 | 20% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | -12% | +8.5 points |
CRDO's operating margin was 25% last quarter, down 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AXTI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.7M | +$99M |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6M | +$8.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.1M | -$9.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.3M | -$5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.9M | -949% |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.9M | +$9.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -48% |
AXTI's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $79M over the past year.
CRDO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.9M | +62% |
| Q2 2026 | $177.5M | +228% |
| Q1 2026 | $139.7M | +$140.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $38.5M | +$50.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $51.3M | +$64.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $54.2M | +5531% |
| Q1 2025 | -$383K | +$5.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -494% |
CRDO has the edge over AXTI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AXTI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.8% | +2.4M shares |
| 1 year | +51% | +22.2M shares |
| 3 years | +55% | +23.3M shares |
| 5 years | +54% | +23.1M shares |
| Available history | +67% | +26.4M shares |
AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.
CRDO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +6.1M shares |
| 1 year | +5.3% | +9.8M shares |
| 3 years | +30% | +45.1M shares |
| 5 years | +39% | +54.4M shares |
CRDO has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $22.9M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
AXTI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -24.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | 93.9x | High |
| Q1 2023 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2022 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2022 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
AXTI has the edge over CRDO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CRDO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -22.2x | Net Cash |
CRDO has more cash than debt.
AXTI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.1 | Oversold |
AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
CRDO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.2 | Oversold |
CRDO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).
AXTI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AXTI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 99x | 28x | 255% above |
| PE % | 83 | 35 | 48 pts above |
AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CRDO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRDO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 28x | 77% above |
| PE % | 1 | 48 | 47 pts below |
CRDO has the edge over AXTI on valuation relative to its sector.
AXTI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.3 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.9 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.0 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $30.5 | 43% above |
| 200 week MA | $16.8 | 159% above |
AXTI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 159% above its 200-week average.
CRDO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $171.8 | 19% below |
| 20 week MA | $199.0 | 30% below |
| 50 week MA | $174.7 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $134.3 | 4.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $78.2 | 79% above |
CRDO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 79% above its 200-week average.
AXTI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.04 | $9.64 | +139% |
| 2021 | $9.64 | $8.80 | -8.7% |
| 2022 | $8.80 | $4.40 | -50% |
| 2023 | $4.40 | $2.40 | -45% |
| 2024 | $2.40 | $2.28 | -5% |
| 2025 | $2.28 | $15.4 | +574% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.4 | $43.5 | +183% |
AXTI has the edge over CRDO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CRDO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $11.2 | $13.0 | +16% |
| 2023 | $13.0 | $19.5 | +50% |
| 2024 | $19.5 | $69.3 | +256% |
| 2025 | $69.3 | $144.8 | +109% |
| 2026 YTD | $144.8 | $139.8 | -3.5% |
CRDO has finished every year since 2022 higher, and it's down 3.5% so far in 2026.