AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 99x earnings, about four times its usual 23x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54โ€”
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXTI, with profitability improving.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXTI and CIFR's risk to reward.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: โˆ’$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: โˆ’$5MQ3 2025: โˆ’$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: โˆ’$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has more cash than debt.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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