AXTA

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.

54
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

AXTA's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 47%, but earnings per share fell 26%. At 23x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 26x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

AXTA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

AXTA's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

AXTA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x49x73x97x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x49x73x97x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$36.41—
Cheap18x$27.29-25%
Current23x$36.41—
Fair26x$39.64+8.9%
Expensive34x$53.26+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTA's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AXTA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AXTA's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

AXTA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$42.31
Downside-23%$27.87

Calculated from the latest close: $36.41 on Nov 12.

AXTA's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −23% against +16%.

AXTA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.21Q1 2024: $1.12Q2 2024: $1.36Q3 2024: $1.49Q4 2024: $1.78Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.04Q3 2025: $2.09Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.62Q3 2026: $1.55Forward: $2.60
Q4 2023: $1.21Q1 2024: $1.12Q2 2024: $1.36Q3 2024: $1.49Q4 2024: $1.78Q1 2025: $2.05Q2 2025: $2.04Q3 2025: $2.09Q4 2025: $1.74Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.62Q3 2026: $1.55Forward: $2.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.60+68%
Q3 2026$1.55-26%
Q2 2026$1.62-21%
Q1 2026$1.71-17%
Q4 2025$1.74-2.2%
Q3 2025$2.09+40%
Q2 2025$2.04+50%
Q1 2025$2.05+83%
Q4 2024$1.78+47%

AXTA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.55 over the past year, against $2.09 in late 2025.

AXTA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+1.8%
Q2 2026$1.3B+3.1%
Q1 2026$1.3B-0.6%
Q4 2025$1.3B-3.7%
Q3 2025$1.3B-2.4%
Q2 2025$1.3B-3.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B-2.5%
Q4 2024$1.3B+1.1%

AXTA's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.3B last quarter, up 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXTA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $253MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $172MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $97MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $286MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $253MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $161MQ4 2024: $172MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $97MQ3 2025: $87MQ4 2025: $286MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$89M+2.3%
Q2 2026$104M+7.2%
Q1 2026$18M+$35M
Q4 2025$286M+66%
Q3 2025$87M-46%
Q2 2025$97M+6.6%
Q1 2025-$17M-242%
Q4 2024$172M-32%

AXTA generated $497M in free cash flow over the past year, up 47% from the year before.

AXTA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 221MQ2 2024: 221MQ3 2024: 220MQ4 2024: 220MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 217MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 215MQ3 2026: 215M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 221MQ2 2024: 221MQ3 2024: 220MQ4 2024: 220MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 216MQ4 2025: 217MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 215MQ3 2026: 215M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+400K shares
1 year-0.4%-800K shares
3 years-3.1%-6.8M shares
5 years-6.8%-15.6M shares
Available history-8.8%-20.7M shares

AXTA has 215M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AXTA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 2.9xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.9xModerate

AXTA's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.7 years a year ago.

AXTA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic61.8Neutral

AXTA's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

AXTA PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricAXTASector medianRelative
PE23x19x26% above
PE %39401 pt below

AXTA is trading at 23x earnings, a 26% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

AXTA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.07% above
20 week MA$34.65.3% above
50 week MA$32.412% above
100 week MA$32.014% above
200 week MA$32.213% above

AXTA has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 13% above its 200-week average.

AXTA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.3$28.8-5%
2021$28.8$31.8+11%
2022$31.8$25.7-19%
2023$25.7$34.0+32%
2024$34.0$34.4+1.2%
2025$34.4$32.4-5.7%
2026 YTD$32.4$36.4+12%

AXTA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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