AXON

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

57
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

AXON has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over AXON overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

AXON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

AXON's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AXON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2012x4023x6035x8046x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2012x4023x6035x8046x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward36x$307—
Current99x$307—
Cheap104x$322+4.9%
Fair152x$472+54%
Expensive201x$625+103%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXON's PE is 99x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXON, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over AXON on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AXON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$515.53
Downside-39%$187.45

Calculated from the latest close: $307.11 on Nov 12.

AXON trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AXON, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AXON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.80Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $1.51Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $3.11Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.80Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $1.51Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $3.11Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54+174%
Q3 2026$3.11-1.9%
Q2 2026$2.40-41%
Q1 2026$2.48-40%
Q4 2025$1.51-69%
Q3 2025$3.17-18%
Q2 2025$4.06+6.8%
Q1 2025$4.15+21%
Q4 2024$4.80+108%

AXON has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

AXON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $432MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $504MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $575MQ1 2025: $604MQ2 2025: $669MQ3 2025: $711MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $904MQ3 2026: $909M
Q4 2023: $432MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $504MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $575MQ1 2025: $604MQ2 2025: $669MQ3 2025: $711MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $904MQ3 2026: $909M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$908.6M+28%
Q2 2026$904.4M+35%
Q1 2026$807.3M+34%
Q4 2025$796.7M+39%
Q3 2025$710.6M+31%
Q2 2025$668.5M+33%
Q1 2025$603.6M+31%
Q4 2024$575.1M+33%

AXON has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $932,000Q2 2025: −$115MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$972,000Q3 2026: −$19M
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $932,000Q2 2025: −$115MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$972,000Q3 2026: −$19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$18.9M-157%
Q2 2026-$972K+$113.7M
Q1 2026-$54.6M-5963%
Q4 2025$155.4M-31%
Q3 2025$33.4M-49%
Q2 2025-$114.7M-260%
Q1 2025$932K+$33.1M
Q4 2024$225.4M+94%

AXON has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

AXON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+6.7%+5.3M shares
3 years+10%+7.7M shares
5 years+16%+11.2M shares
Available history+39%+23.7M shares

AXON has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

AXON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 10.3xQ2 2025: 23.6xQ3 2025: 12.7xQ4 2025: 28.9xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 8.5xQ3 2026: 7.4x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 10.3xQ2 2025: 23.6xQ3 2025: 12.7xQ4 2025: 28.9xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 8.5xQ3 2026: 7.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.4xHigh
Q2 20268.5xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 202528.9xHigh
Q3 202512.7xHigh
Q2 202523.6xHigh
Q1 202510.3xHigh
Q4 20242.1xModerate

AXON's net debt is about 7.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AXON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

AXON's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AXON PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAXONSector medianRelative
PE99x24x310% above
PE %135845 pts below

AXON is trading at 99x earnings, a 310% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$390.621% below
20 week MA$484.237% below
50 week MA$482.636% below
100 week MA$575.247% below
200 week MA$429.629% below

AXON is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

AXON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.9$130.8+79%
2021$130.8$160.5+23%
2022$160.5$169.0+5.3%
2023$169.0$258.3+53%
2024$258.3$611.0+137%
2025$611.0$583.8-4.4%
2026 YTD$583.8$307.1-47%

AXON is down 47% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over AXON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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