AXON

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

57
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

AXON offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over AXON overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

AXON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

AXON's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

AXON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2012x4023x6035x8046x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2012x4023x6035x8046x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward36x$307—
Current99x$307—
Cheap104x$322+4.9%
Fair152x$472+54%
Expensive201x$625+103%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXON's PE is 99x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over AXON in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AXON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AXON, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over AXON on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AXON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$515.53
Downside-39%$187.45

Calculated from the latest close: $307.11 on Nov 12.

AXON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails AXON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AXON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.80Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $1.51Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $3.11Forward: $8.54
Q4 2023: $2.31Q1 2024: $3.43Q2 2024: $3.80Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.06Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $1.51Q1 2026: $2.48Q2 2026: $2.40Q3 2026: $3.11Forward: $8.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.54+174%
Q3 2026$3.11-1.9%
Q2 2026$2.40-41%
Q1 2026$2.48-40%
Q4 2025$1.51-69%
Q3 2025$3.17-18%
Q2 2025$4.06+6.8%
Q1 2025$4.15+21%
Q4 2024$4.80+108%

AXON's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.11 over the past year, against $4.80 in late 2024. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over AXON on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $432MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $504MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $575MQ1 2025: $604MQ2 2025: $669MQ3 2025: $711MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $904MQ3 2026: $909M
Q4 2023: $432MQ1 2024: $461MQ2 2024: $504MQ3 2024: $544MQ4 2024: $575MQ1 2025: $604MQ2 2025: $669MQ3 2025: $711MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $904MQ3 2026: $909M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$908.6M+28%
Q2 2026$904.4M+35%
Q1 2026$807.3M+34%
Q4 2025$796.7M+39%
Q3 2025$710.6M+31%
Q2 2025$668.5M+33%
Q1 2025$603.6M+31%
Q4 2024$575.1M+33%

AXON has the edge over BA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $932,000Q2 2025: −$115MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$972,000Q3 2026: −$19M
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $225MQ1 2025: $932,000Q2 2025: −$115MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: −$55MQ2 2026: −$972,000Q3 2026: −$19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$18.9M-157%
Q2 2026-$972K+$113.7M
Q1 2026-$54.6M-5963%
Q4 2025$155.4M-31%
Q3 2025$33.4M-49%
Q2 2025-$114.7M-260%
Q1 2025$932K+$33.1M
Q4 2024$225.4M+94%

AXON usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$19M, but it generated $81M over the past year.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over AXON on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 75MQ1 2024: 77MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+6.7%+5.3M shares
3 years+10%+7.7M shares
5 years+16%+11.2M shares
Available history+39%+23.7M shares

AXON has 84M diluted shares, up 6.7% from a year ago.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has the edge over AXON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXON Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 10.3xQ2 2025: 23.6xQ3 2025: 12.7xQ4 2025: 28.9xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 8.5xQ3 2026: 7.4x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 10.3xQ2 2025: 23.6xQ3 2025: 12.7xQ4 2025: 28.9xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 8.5xQ3 2026: 7.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.4xHigh
Q2 20268.5xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 202528.9xHigh
Q3 202512.7xHigh
Q2 202523.6xHigh
Q1 202510.3xHigh
Q4 20242.1xModerate

AXON's net debt is about 7.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 13 years a year ago.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over AXON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AXON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

AXON's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

AXON PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAXONSector medianRelative
PE99x24x310% above
PE %135845 pts below

AXON is trading at 99x earnings, a 310% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over AXON on valuation relative to its sector.

AXON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$390.621% below
20 week MA$484.237% below
50 week MA$482.636% below
100 week MA$575.247% below
200 week MA$429.629% below

AXON is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

AXON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.9$130.8+79%
2021$130.8$160.5+23%
2022$160.5$169.0+5.3%
2023$169.0$258.3+53%
2024$258.3$611.0+137%
2025$611.0$583.8-4.4%
2026 YTD$583.8$307.1-47%

AXON is down 47% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over AXON on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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