AWX

Avalon Holdings Corporation

69
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation86/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

AWX has the edge over RDW overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AWX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

AWX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AWX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x45x67x89x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x45x67x89x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.6x$2.83—
Cheap5.9x$3.00+6%
Fair12x$6.11+116%
Expensive49x$25.23+792%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AWX's PE is in its cheap range at 5.6x.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AWX Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AWX to show an outlook.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AWX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$3.71
Downside-19%$2.30

Calculated from the latest close: $2.83 on Nov 12.

AWX trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AWX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AWX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.46Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $0.00Q3 2024: $0.24Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.20Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $0.05Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.15Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.51
Q4 2023: $-0.46Q1 2024: $-0.28Q2 2024: $0.00Q3 2024: $0.24Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.20Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $0.05Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.15Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.51+920%
Q2 2026$0.31+933%
Q1 2026$0.15-25%
Q4 2025$0.09-73%
Q3 2025$0.05-79%
Q2 2025$0.03+$0.03
Q1 2025$0.20+$0.48
Q4 2024$0.33+$0.79

AWX has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

AWX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $24M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $26MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $24M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.3M-5.6%
Q2 2026$20.9M+3.2%
Q1 2026$17.7M+9.9%
Q4 2025$21.5M+22%
Q3 2025$25.7M+6.2%
Q2 2025$20.3M-12%
Q1 2025$16.1M-15%
Q4 2024$17.6M+0.2%

AWX's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $24M last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over AWX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AWX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$509,000Q1 2024: $56,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$660,000Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $852,000Q4 2025: −$166,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: −$509,000Q1 2024: $56,000Q2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$660,000Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $852,000Q4 2025: −$166,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5M+74%
Q2 2026$2.4M-14%
Q1 2026-$1.8M-$411K
Q4 2025-$166K+$961K
Q3 2025$852K+$1.5M
Q2 2025$2.7M-3.8%
Q1 2025-$1.4M-2550%
Q4 2024-$1.1M-$618K

AWX has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

AWX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 4MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 4MQ2 2025: 4MQ3 2025: 4MQ4 2025: 4MQ1 2026: 4MQ2 2026: 4MQ3 2026: 4M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-431 shares
1 year0%-431 shares
3 years0%--
5 years-0.8%-31.9K shares
Available history+0.6%+24K shares

AWX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

AWX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.0xQ1 2024: 6.5xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 4.3xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 8.0xQ1 2024: 6.5xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 3.8xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ3 2025: 4.3xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20254.2xHigh
Q3 20254.3xHigh
Q2 20254.5xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20243.8xElevated

AWX's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AWX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.6Neutral
Stochastic48.1Neutral

AWX's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AWX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAWXSector medianRelative
PE5.6x24x77% below
PE %115847 pts below

AWX is trading at 5.6x earnings, a 77% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AWX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.5710% above
20 week MA$2.608.8% above
50 week MA$2.599.3% above
100 week MA$2.704.8% above
200 week MA$2.5611% above

AWX has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

AWX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.95$2.30+18%
2021$2.30$3.49+52%
2022$3.49$2.58-26%
2023$2.58$2.39-7.4%
2024$2.39$3.30+38%
2025$3.30$2.49-25%
2026 YTD$2.49$2.83+14%

AWX has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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