AWX
Avalon Holdings Corporation
AWX has the edge over CAT overall, supported by stronger valuation.
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
AWX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
AWX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
CAT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CAT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
AWX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.6x | $2.83 | — |
| Cheap | 5.9x | $3.00 | +6% |
| Fair | 12x | $6.11 | +116% |
| Expensive | 49x | $25.23 | +792% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AWX has the edge over CAT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CAT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $380 | -37% |
| Fair | 18x | $461 | -24% |
| Forward | 20x | $605 | — |
| Current | 24x | $605 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $840 | +39% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CAT's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
AWX Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for AWX to show an outlook.
CAT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CAT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AWX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.51 | +920% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.31 | +933% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.15 | -25% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.09 | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.05 | -79% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.03 | +$0.03 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.20 | +$0.48 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.33 | +$0.79 |
AWX has the edge over CAT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CAT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $30.32 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $25.48 | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.23 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.08 | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.81 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.46 | -9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.64 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.50 | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.05 | +9.6% |
CAT earned $25.48 per share over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
AWX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.3M | -5.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.9M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.7M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.5M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.3M | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $16.1M | -15% |
| Q4 2024 | $17.6M | +0.2% |
AWX's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $24M last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.5% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.2% | +3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4% | +1.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.1% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.7% | -2.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | -7.2% | -4.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8% | +1.7 points |
AWX's operating margin was 13% last quarter, up 3.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
CAT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.7B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.5B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.4B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.6B | -0.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.2B | -9.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | -5% |
CAT has the edge over AWX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -0.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -4.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -4.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.3 points |
CAT has the edge over AWX on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AWX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5M | +74% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4M | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.8M | -$411K |
| Q4 2025 | -$166K | +$961K |
| Q3 2025 | $852K | +$1.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7M | -3.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.4M | -2550% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.1M | -$618K |
AWX has burned cash in most quarters: $2M over the past year, up 74% from the year before.
CAT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.8B | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +97% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -1.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -4.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $579M | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.7B | -22% |
CAT has the edge over AWX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AWX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -431 shares |
| 1 year | 0% | -431 shares |
| 3 years | 0% | -- |
| 5 years | -0.8% | -31.9K shares |
| Available history | +0.6% | +24K shares |
AWX has 4M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
CAT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -2.1% | -9.9M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -51.7M shares |
| 5 years | -16% | -86.7M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -107M shares |
CAT has the edge over AWX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $340M |
| Q3 2025 | $362M |
| Q2 2025 | $828M |
| Q1 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $640M |
CAT spent $8.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 47% from the year before.
AWX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8x | Elevated |
AWX's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.
CAT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
CAT has the edge over AWX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AWX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 48.1 | Neutral |
AWX's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).
CAT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
CAT's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
AWX PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AWX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.6x | 24x | 77% below |
| PE % | 11 | 58 | 47 pts below |
AWX has the edge over CAT on valuation relative to its sector.
CAT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CAT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 24x | 1.3% below |
| PE % | 69 | 58 | 11 pts above |
CAT is trading at 24x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
AWX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.57 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $2.60 | 8.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $2.59 | 9.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.70 | 4.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $2.56 | 11% above |
AWX has the edge over CAT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CAT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $709.0 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $797.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $771.3 | 22% below |
| 100 week MA | $586.7 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $443.1 | 37% above |
CAT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
AWX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.95 | $2.30 | +18% |
| 2021 | $2.30 | $3.49 | +52% |
| 2022 | $3.49 | $2.58 | -26% |
| 2023 | $2.58 | $2.39 | -7.4% |
| 2024 | $2.39 | $3.30 | +38% |
| 2025 | $3.30 | $2.49 | -25% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.49 | $2.83 | +14% |
AWX has the edge over CAT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
CAT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $148.3 | $179.6 | +21% |
| 2021 | $179.6 | $206.2 | +15% |
| 2022 | $206.2 | $239.9 | +16% |
| 2023 | $239.9 | $295.7 | +23% |
| 2024 | $295.7 | $364.9 | +23% |
| 2025 | $364.9 | $583.0 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $583.0 | $605.3 | +3.8% |
CAT has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 3.8% so far in 2026.