AWI

Armstrong World Industries, Inc.

63
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

AWI has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AWI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

AWI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AWI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$136-22%
Forward19x$175—
Fair23x$174-0.2%
Current23x$175—
Expensive28x$212+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AWI's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AWI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AWI, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AWI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$210.53
Downside-13%$152.42

Calculated from the latest close: $174.65 on Nov 12.

AWI trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AWI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AWI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.99Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.47Q3 2024: $5.66Q4 2024: $6.02Q1 2025: $6.24Q2 2025: $6.75Q3 2025: $6.98Q4 2025: $7.08Q1 2026: $7.05Q2 2026: $7.30Q3 2026: $7.49Forward: $9.20
Q4 2023: $4.99Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.47Q3 2024: $5.66Q4 2024: $6.02Q1 2025: $6.24Q2 2025: $6.75Q3 2025: $6.98Q4 2025: $7.08Q1 2026: $7.05Q2 2026: $7.30Q3 2026: $7.49Forward: $9.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.20+23%
Q3 2026$7.49+7.3%
Q2 2026$7.30+8.1%
Q1 2026$7.05+13%
Q4 2025$7.08+18%
Q3 2025$6.98+23%
Q2 2025$6.75+23%
Q1 2025$6.24+18%
Q4 2024$6.02+21%

AWI has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

AWI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $312MQ1 2024: $326MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $387MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $383MQ2 2025: $425MQ3 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $472MQ3 2026: $476M
Q4 2023: $312MQ1 2024: $326MQ2 2024: $365MQ3 2024: $387MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $383MQ2 2025: $425MQ3 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: $410MQ2 2026: $472MQ3 2026: $476M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$475.8M+12%
Q2 2026$472M+11%
Q1 2026$409.9M+7.1%
Q4 2025$388.3M+5.6%
Q3 2025$425.2M+10%
Q2 2025$424.6M+16%
Q1 2025$382.7M+17%
Q4 2024$367.7M+18%

AWI's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $476M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over AWI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AWI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.5M-29%
Q2 2026$69.8M+13%
Q1 2026$14.4M-34%
Q4 2025$62.2M+7.6%
Q3 2025$100.3M+30%
Q2 2025$61.7M+65%
Q1 2025$21.9M+87%
Q4 2024$57.8M+73%

AWI has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

AWI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 44MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 43MQ2 2026: 43MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-400K shares
1 year-3%-1.3M shares
3 years-5.2%-2.3M shares
5 years-12%-5.5M shares
Available history-15%-7.2M shares

AWI has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

AWI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.3xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

AWI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AWI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.8Neutral
Stochastic53.0Neutral

AWI's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

AWI PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAWISector medianRelative
PE23x24x3.1% below
PE %50588 pts below

AWI is trading at 23x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AWI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$167.14.5% above
20 week MA$168.04% above
50 week MA$172.71.1% above
100 week MA$169.13.3% above
200 week MA$134.330% above

AWI has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

AWI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$93.9$74.3-21%
2021$74.3$114.1+54%
2022$114.1$69.3-39%
2023$69.3$98.3+42%
2024$98.3$143.7+46%
2025$143.7$192.3+34%
2026 YTD$192.3$174.7-9.2%

AWI has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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