AVTR

Avantor, Inc.

65
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AVTR has a slight edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AVTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

AVTR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

AVTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x383x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x383x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$15.62—
Cheap21x$10.56-32%
Current31x$15.62—
Fair41x$20.70+33%
Expensive96x$47.90+207%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVTR's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over AVTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

AVTR has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AVTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$20.95
Downside-20%$12.52

Calculated from the latest close: $15.62 on Nov 12.

AVTR trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AVTR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AVTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.45Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.78Q1 2026: $-0.81Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.45Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.78Q1 2026: $-0.81Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+75%
Q3 2026$0.50+$0.63
Q2 2026-$0.84-185%
Q1 2026-$0.81-178%
Q4 2025-$0.78-175%
Q3 2025-$0.13-129%
Q2 2025$0.99+87%
Q1 2025$1.04+174%
Q4 2024$1.04+121%

AVTR has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

AVTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.7B+0.5%
Q1 2026$1.6B0%
Q4 2025$1.7B-1.4%
Q3 2025$1.6B-5.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B-1.1%
Q1 2025$1.6B-5.9%
Q4 2024$1.7B-2.1%

AVTR's revenue has held roughly level: $1.7B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over AVTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$156.2M-9%
Q2 2026$140.6M+13%
Q1 2026$25.2M-69%
Q4 2025$117.2M-20%
Q3 2025$171.7M-16%
Q2 2025$124.8M-47%
Q1 2025$81.3M-24%
Q4 2024$145.8M-27%

AVTR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $439M over the past year, down 16% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over AVTR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 678MQ1 2024: 681MQ2 2024: 683MQ3 2024: 683MQ4 2024: 682MQ1 2025: 682MQ2 2025: 682MQ3 2025: 682MQ4 2025: 681MQ1 2026: 677MQ2 2026: 677MQ3 2026: 681M
Q4 2023: 678MQ1 2024: 681MQ2 2024: 683MQ3 2024: 683MQ4 2024: 682MQ1 2025: 682MQ2 2025: 682MQ3 2025: 682MQ4 2025: 681MQ1 2026: 677MQ2 2026: 677MQ3 2026: 681M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+3.7M shares
1 year-0.1%-800K shares
3 years+0.4%+2.4M shares
5 years+14%+82.8M shares
Available history+17%+99.6M shares

AVTR has 681M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over AVTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 21.8xQ1 2026: 29.1xQ2 2026: 28.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 21.8xQ1 2026: 29.1xQ2 2026: 28.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 202628.9xHigh
Q1 202629.1xHigh
Q4 202521.8xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

AVTR's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over AVTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic62.4Neutral

AVTR's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

AVTR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAVTRSector medianRelative
PE31x26x21% above
PE %33294 pts above

AVTR is trading at 31x earnings, a 21% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over AVTR on valuation relative to its sector.

AVTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.91.7% below
20 week MA$14.39.3% above
50 week MA$11.437% above
100 week MA$13.218% above
200 week MA$17.812% below

AVTR's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over AVTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$27.1+49%
2021$27.1$41.3+52%
2022$41.3$20.5-50%
2023$20.5$22.8+11%
2024$22.8$21.4-6.2%
2025$21.4$11.4-47%
2026 YTD$11.4$15.6+37%

AVTR has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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