AVTR

Avantor, Inc.

65
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AVTR has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

AVTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

AVTR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

AVTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x383x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x383x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$15.62—
Cheap21x$10.56-32%
Current31x$15.62—
Fair41x$20.70+33%
Expensive96x$47.90+207%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVTR's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over AVTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

AVTR has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AVTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$20.95
Downside-20%$12.52

Calculated from the latest close: $15.62 on Nov 12.

AVTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails AVTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.45Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.78Q1 2026: $-0.81Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.45Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.78Q1 2026: $-0.81Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+75%
Q3 2026$0.50+$0.63
Q2 2026-$0.84-185%
Q1 2026-$0.81-178%
Q4 2025-$0.78-175%
Q3 2025-$0.13-129%
Q2 2025$0.99+87%
Q1 2025$1.04+174%
Q4 2024$1.04+121%

AVTR has returned to profit: it earned $0.50 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over AVTR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.7B+0.5%
Q1 2026$1.6B0%
Q4 2025$1.7B-1.4%
Q3 2025$1.6B-5.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B-1.1%
Q1 2025$1.6B-5.9%
Q4 2024$1.7B-2.1%

AVTR's revenue has held roughly level: $1.7B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over AVTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$156.2M-9%
Q2 2026$140.6M+13%
Q1 2026$25.2M-69%
Q4 2025$117.2M-20%
Q3 2025$171.7M-16%
Q2 2025$124.8M-47%
Q1 2025$81.3M-24%
Q4 2024$145.8M-27%

AVTR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $439M over the past year, down 16% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over AVTR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 678MQ1 2024: 681MQ2 2024: 683MQ3 2024: 683MQ4 2024: 682MQ1 2025: 682MQ2 2025: 682MQ3 2025: 682MQ4 2025: 681MQ1 2026: 677MQ2 2026: 677MQ3 2026: 681M
Q4 2023: 678MQ1 2024: 681MQ2 2024: 683MQ3 2024: 683MQ4 2024: 682MQ1 2025: 682MQ2 2025: 682MQ3 2025: 682MQ4 2025: 681MQ1 2026: 677MQ2 2026: 677MQ3 2026: 681M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+3.7M shares
1 year-0.1%-800K shares
3 years+0.4%+2.4M shares
5 years+14%+82.8M shares
Available history+17%+99.6M shares

AVTR has 681M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over AVTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 21.8xQ1 2026: 29.1xQ2 2026: 28.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 21.8xQ1 2026: 29.1xQ2 2026: 28.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 202628.9xHigh
Q1 202629.1xHigh
Q4 202521.8xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

AVTR's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over AVTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic62.4Neutral

AVTR's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

AVTR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAVTRSector medianRelative
PE31x26x21% above
PE %33294 pts above

AVTR is trading at 31x earnings, a 21% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over AVTR on valuation relative to its sector.

AVTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.91.7% below
20 week MA$14.39.3% above
50 week MA$11.437% above
100 week MA$13.218% above
200 week MA$17.812% below

AVTR has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

AVTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$27.1+49%
2021$27.1$41.3+52%
2022$41.3$20.5-50%
2023$20.5$22.8+11%
2024$22.8$21.4-6.2%
2025$21.4$11.4-47%
2026 YTD$11.4$15.6+37%

AVTR has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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