AVTR

Avantor, Inc.

65
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

AVTR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over AVTR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AVTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

AVTR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AVTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x383x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x383x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$15.62—
Cheap21x$10.56-32%
Current31x$15.62—
Fair41x$20.70+33%
Expensive96x$47.90+207%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVTR has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AVTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AVTR, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

AVTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$20.95
Downside-20%$12.52

Calculated from the latest close: $15.62 on Nov 12.

AVTR trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AVTR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AVTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.45Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.78Q1 2026: $-0.81Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.38Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.45Q4 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $1.04Q2 2025: $0.99Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.78Q1 2026: $-0.81Q2 2026: $-0.84Q3 2026: $0.50Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88+75%
Q3 2026$0.50+$0.63
Q2 2026-$0.84-185%
Q1 2026-$0.81-178%
Q4 2025-$0.78-175%
Q3 2025-$0.13-129%
Q2 2025$0.99+87%
Q1 2025$1.04+174%
Q4 2024$1.04+121%

AVTR has returned to profit: it earned $0.50 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over AVTR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.7BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+4.6%
Q2 2026$1.7B+0.5%
Q1 2026$1.6B0%
Q4 2025$1.7B-1.4%
Q3 2025$1.6B-5.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B-1.1%
Q1 2025$1.6B-5.9%
Q4 2024$1.7B-2.1%

AVTR's revenue has held roughly level: $1.7B last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over AVTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $107MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $81MQ2 2025: $125MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $117MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $141MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$156.2M-9%
Q2 2026$140.6M+13%
Q1 2026$25.2M-69%
Q4 2025$117.2M-20%
Q3 2025$171.7M-16%
Q2 2025$124.8M-47%
Q1 2025$81.3M-24%
Q4 2024$145.8M-27%

AVTR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $439M over the past year, down 16% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over AVTR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 678MQ1 2024: 681MQ2 2024: 683MQ3 2024: 683MQ4 2024: 682MQ1 2025: 682MQ2 2025: 682MQ3 2025: 682MQ4 2025: 681MQ1 2026: 677MQ2 2026: 677MQ3 2026: 681M
Q4 2023: 678MQ1 2024: 681MQ2 2024: 683MQ3 2024: 683MQ4 2024: 682MQ1 2025: 682MQ2 2025: 682MQ3 2025: 682MQ4 2025: 681MQ1 2026: 677MQ2 2026: 677MQ3 2026: 681M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+3.7M shares
1 year-0.1%-800K shares
3 years+0.4%+2.4M shares
5 years+14%+82.8M shares
Available history+17%+99.6M shares

AVTR has 681M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over AVTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 21.8xQ1 2026: 29.1xQ2 2026: 28.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 5.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 21.8xQ1 2026: 29.1xQ2 2026: 28.9xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 202628.9xHigh
Q1 202629.1xHigh
Q4 202521.8xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

AVTR's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over AVTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic62.4Neutral

AVTR's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

AVTR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAVTRSector medianRelative
PE31x26x21% above
PE %33294 pts above

AVTR has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

AVTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.91.7% below
20 week MA$14.39.3% above
50 week MA$11.437% above
100 week MA$13.218% above
200 week MA$17.812% below

AVTR's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over AVTR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$27.1+49%
2021$27.1$41.3+52%
2022$41.3$20.5-50%
2023$20.5$22.8+11%
2024$22.8$21.4-6.2%
2025$21.4$11.4-47%
2026 YTD$11.4$15.6+37%

AVTR has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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