AVT

Avnet, Inc.

69
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential6/ 100

AVT has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over AVT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure

AVT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AVT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$37.55-56%
Fair12x$83.17-2.9%
Current13x$85.64—
Expensive25x$168+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVT's PE is in its fair range at 13x.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over AVT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AVT to show an outlook.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

AVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$187.80
Downside-6%$80.72

Calculated from the latest close: $85.64 on Nov 12.

AVT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVDA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA trails AVT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.23Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.43Q3 2024: $3.84Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $2.75Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.59Q2 2026: $4.01Q4 2026: $6.68
Q4 2023: $7.23Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.43Q3 2024: $3.84Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $2.75Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.59Q2 2026: $4.01Q4 2026: $6.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$6.68+147%
Q2 2026$4.01+46%
Q1 2026$2.59-28%
Q4 2025$2.46-31%
Q3 2025$2.70-30%
Q2 2025$2.75-49%
Q1 2025$3.59-42%
Q4 2024$3.55-51%

AVT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.68 over the past year, against $9.09 in early 2023.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over AVT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.7BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $8.3BQ4 2026: $10.7B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.7BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $8.3BQ4 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.7B+82%
Q2 2026$8.3B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+34%
Q4 2025$6.3B+12%
Q3 2025$5.9B+5.3%
Q2 2025$5.6B+1%
Q1 2025$5.3B-6%
Q4 2024$5.7B-8.7%

AVT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 82% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over AVT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $248MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: −$169MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$308MQ4 2026: −$867M
Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $248MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: −$169MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$308MQ4 2026: −$867M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$866.7M-$697.5M
Q2 2026-$307.5M-485%
Q1 2026-$70.7M-162%
Q4 2025$192.9M-37%
Q3 2025-$169.2M-327%
Q2 2025$79.9M-68%
Q1 2025$114.1M-75%
Q4 2024$308.5M+$432.7M

AVT's free cash flow was −$1.1B over the past year, against $333M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over AVT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ4 2026: 86M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ4 2026: 86M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+2.6M shares
1 year+1.8%+1.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-7.2M shares
5 years-15%-15.1M shares
Available history-15%-15.3M shares

AVT has 86M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over AVT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVT Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ4 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ4 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AVT's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.8 years a year ago.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over AVT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic18.5Oversold

AVT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

AVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVTSector medianRelative
PE13x28x54% below
PE %513516 pts above

AVT has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.67.5% below
20 week MA$91.66.5% below
50 week MA$77.111% above
100 week MA$64.034% above
200 week MA$56.452% above

AVT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

AVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.5$34.5-19%
2021$34.5$40.3+17%
2022$40.3$41.7+3.7%
2023$41.7$50.4+21%
2024$50.4$52.9+5%
2025$52.9$49.3-6.9%
2026 YTD$49.3$85.6+74%

AVT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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