AVT

Avnet, Inc.

69
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential6/ 100

AVT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AVT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AVT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure

AVT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AVT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x45x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x45x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$37.55-56%
Fair12x$83.17-2.9%
Current13x$85.64—
Expensive25x$168+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVT's PE is in its fair range at 13x.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over AVT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AVT to show an outlook.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AVT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+119%$187.80
Downside-6%$80.72

Calculated from the latest close: $85.64 on Nov 12.

AVT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails AVT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AVT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.23Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.43Q3 2024: $3.84Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $2.75Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.59Q2 2026: $4.01Q4 2026: $6.68
Q4 2023: $7.23Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.43Q3 2024: $3.84Q4 2024: $3.55Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $2.75Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.46Q1 2026: $2.59Q2 2026: $4.01Q4 2026: $6.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$6.68+147%
Q2 2026$4.01+46%
Q1 2026$2.59-28%
Q4 2025$2.46-31%
Q3 2025$2.70-30%
Q2 2025$2.75-49%
Q1 2025$3.59-42%
Q4 2024$3.55-51%

AVT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.68 over the past year, against $9.09 in early 2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AVT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.7BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $8.3BQ4 2026: $10.7B
Q4 2023: $6.2BQ1 2024: $5.7BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $5.9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $7.1BQ2 2026: $8.3BQ4 2026: $10.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.7B+82%
Q2 2026$8.3B+48%
Q1 2026$7.1B+34%
Q4 2025$6.3B+12%
Q3 2025$5.9B+5.3%
Q2 2025$5.6B+1%
Q1 2025$5.3B-6%
Q4 2024$5.7B-8.7%

AVT's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $10.7B last quarter, up 82% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over AVT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $248MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: −$169MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$308MQ4 2026: −$867M
Q4 2023: −$124MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $248MQ3 2024: $75MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $114MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: −$169MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: −$71MQ2 2026: −$308MQ4 2026: −$867M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$866.7M-$697.5M
Q2 2026-$307.5M-485%
Q1 2026-$70.7M-162%
Q4 2025$192.9M-37%
Q3 2025-$169.2M-327%
Q2 2025$79.9M-68%
Q1 2025$114.1M-75%
Q4 2024$308.5M+$432.7M

AVT's free cash flow was −$1.1B over the past year, against $333M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over AVT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AVT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ4 2026: 86M
Q4 2023: 92MQ1 2024: 91MQ2 2024: 92MQ3 2024: 89MQ4 2024: 88MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 84MQ4 2025: 83MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ4 2026: 86M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+2.6M shares
1 year+1.8%+1.5M shares
3 years-7.7%-7.2M shares
5 years-15%-15.1M shares
Available history-15%-15.3M shares

AVT has 86M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over AVT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVT Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ4 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ4 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AVT's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.8 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over AVT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic18.5Oversold

AVT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AVT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVTSector medianRelative
PE13x28x54% below
PE %513516 pts above

AVT has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AVT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.67.5% below
20 week MA$91.66.5% below
50 week MA$77.111% above
100 week MA$64.034% above
200 week MA$56.452% above

AVT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 52% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over AVT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.5$34.5-19%
2021$34.5$40.3+17%
2022$40.3$41.7+3.7%
2023$41.7$50.4+21%
2024$50.4$52.9+5%
2025$52.9$49.3-6.9%
2026 YTD$49.3$85.6+74%

AVT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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