AVPT

AvePoint, Inc.

70
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AVPT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AVPT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AVPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable

AVPT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AVPT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2181x4361x6542x8723x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2181x4361x6542x8723x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$16.38—
Cheap48x$15.89-3%
Current50x$16.38—
Fair66x$21.92+34%
Expensive7,357x$2,428+14722%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVPT has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

AVPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

AVPT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AVPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$23.25
Downside-17%$13.62

Calculated from the latest close: $16.38 on Nov 12.

AVPT trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AVPT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $-0.05Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.33Forward: $0.48
Q4 2023: $-0.12Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $-0.05Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $-0.13Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.33Forward: $0.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.48+46%
Q3 2026$0.33+$0.33
Q2 2026$0.31+$0.36
Q1 2026$0.20+$0.33
Q4 2025$0.15+$0.31
Q3 2025$0.00+$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.05+$0.03
Q1 2025-$0.13-$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.16-$0.04

AVPT has returned to profit: it earned $0.33 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AVPT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $102MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $131M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $102MQ3 2025: $110MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $117MQ2 2026: $124MQ3 2026: $131M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$131.1M+19%
Q2 2026$124.5M+22%
Q1 2026$117.2M+26%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025$109.7M+24%
Q2 2025$102M+31%
Q1 2025$93.1M+25%
Q4 2024$89.2M+20%

AVPT has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

AVPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $30M
Q4 2023: $21MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $31MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $30M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30M-13%
Q2 2026$14.7M-24%
Q1 2026$23M+$24M
Q4 2025$29M-9.5%
Q3 2025$34.3M+11%
Q2 2025$19.3M+22%
Q1 2025-$1M-114%
Q4 2024$32M+54%

AVPT has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

AVPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 182MQ1 2024: 181MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 233MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 226MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 222M
Q4 2023: 182MQ1 2024: 181MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 204MQ4 2024: 184MQ1 2025: 225MQ2 2025: 229MQ3 2025: 233MQ4 2025: 229MQ1 2026: 226MQ2 2026: 221MQ3 2026: 222M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1.1M shares
1 year-4.7%-10.9M shares
3 years+22%+40.2M shares
5 years+534%+187M shares

AVPT has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AVPT Net Leverage

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

AVPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.0Neutral
Stochastic83.1Overbought

AVPT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AVPT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVPTSector medianRelative
PE50x28x78% above
PE %183517 pts below

AVPT is trading at 50x earnings, a 78% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over AVPT on valuation relative to its sector.

AVPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.36.9% above
20 week MA$13.918% above
50 week MA$12.333% above
100 week MA$14.314% above
200 week MA$11.345% above

AVPT has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

AVPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.90$16.3+65%
2021$16.3$6.50-60%
2022$6.50$4.27-34%
2023$4.27$8.21+92%
2024$8.21$17.0+106%
2025$17.0$13.8-19%
2026 YTD$13.8$16.4+19%

AVPT has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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