AVNW

Aviat Networks, Inc.

48
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

AVNW trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over AVNW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

AVNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy

AVNW's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AVNW PE Valuation

AVNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

AVNW Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AVNW to show an outlook.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

AVNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$24.65
Downside-31%$11.72

Calculated from the latest close: $16.90 on Nov 12.

AVNW trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AVNW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.29Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.31Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.14Q1 2026: $0.71Q3 2026: $0.19Q4 2026: $-0.04
Q4 2023: $1.29Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.31Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.14Q1 2026: $0.71Q3 2026: $0.19Q4 2026: $-0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.04-104%
Q2 2026$0.19+90%
Q1 2026$0.71+$1.02
Q4 2025$1.14+$1.45
Q3 2025$1.05+$1.47
Q2 2025$0.10-88%
Q1 2025-$0.31-127%
Q4 2024-$0.31-124%

AVNW has swung to a loss: it lost $0.04 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over AVNW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AVNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $121MQ4 2026: $102M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $121MQ4 2026: $102M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$102M-5%
Q2 2026$120.9M+4.8%
Q1 2026$100M-11%
Q4 2025$111.5M-5.7%
Q3 2025$107.3M+21%
Q2 2025$115.3M+1.3%
Q1 2025$112.6M+0.9%
Q4 2024$118.2M+24%

AVNW's revenue is shrinking: $102M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over AVNW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $2MQ4 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $2MQ4 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.2M+$6.3M
Q2 2026$2.5M-70%
Q1 2026-$5.4M-$4.2M
Q4 2025$22.5M+23%
Q3 2025-$13.5M+$19.1M
Q2 2025$8.2M+9.9%
Q1 2025-$1.2M-108%
Q4 2024$18.3M+$26M

AVNW has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

AVNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13MQ4 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13MQ4 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-205K shares
1 year-1.2%-154K shares
3 years+7.4%+879K shares
5 years+7.3%+868K shares
Available history+18%+2M shares

AVNW has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AVNW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: 13.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: 13.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20243.7xElevated

AVNW's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over AVNW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

AVNW's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AVNW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVNWSector medianRelative
PE93x28x234% above
PE %913556 pts above

AVNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over AVNW on valuation relative to its sector.

AVNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.312% below
20 week MA$20.216% below
50 week MA$21.020% below
100 week MA$21.120% below
200 week MA$25.534% below

AVNW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over AVNW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.06$17.6+149%
2021$17.6$31.7+80%
2022$31.7$31.1-1.8%
2023$31.1$32.7+5%
2024$32.7$17.8-45%
2025$17.8$21.4+20%
2026 YTD$21.4$16.9-21%

AVNW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +149% in 2020 to −45% in 2024. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over AVNW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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