AVNW

Aviat Networks, Inc.

48
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

AVNW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over AVNW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AVNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy

AVNW's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

AVNW PE Valuation

AVNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVNW Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AVNW to show an outlook.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AVNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$24.65
Downside-31%$11.72

Calculated from the latest close: $16.90 on Nov 12.

AVNW trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AVNW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.29Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.31Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.14Q1 2026: $0.71Q3 2026: $0.19Q4 2026: $-0.04
Q4 2023: $1.29Q1 2024: $1.15Q2 2024: $0.86Q3 2024: $-0.42Q4 2024: $-0.31Q1 2025: $-0.31Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $1.05Q4 2025: $1.14Q1 2026: $0.71Q3 2026: $0.19Q4 2026: $-0.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.04-104%
Q2 2026$0.19+90%
Q1 2026$0.71+$1.02
Q4 2025$1.14+$1.45
Q3 2025$1.05+$1.47
Q2 2025$0.10-88%
Q1 2025-$0.31-127%
Q4 2024-$0.31-124%

AVNW has swung to a loss: it lost $0.04 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AVNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $121MQ4 2026: $102M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: $112MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $88MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $107MQ4 2025: $111MQ1 2026: $100MQ3 2026: $121MQ4 2026: $102M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$102M-5%
Q2 2026$120.9M+4.8%
Q1 2026$100M-11%
Q4 2025$111.5M-5.7%
Q3 2025$107.3M+21%
Q2 2025$115.3M+1.3%
Q1 2025$112.6M+0.9%
Q4 2024$118.2M+24%

AVNW's revenue is shrinking: $102M last quarter, down 5% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over AVNW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AVNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $2MQ4 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: −$13MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: −$5MQ3 2026: $2MQ4 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.2M+$6.3M
Q2 2026$2.5M-70%
Q1 2026-$5.4M-$4.2M
Q4 2025$22.5M+23%
Q3 2025-$13.5M+$19.1M
Q2 2025$8.2M+9.9%
Q1 2025-$1.2M-108%
Q4 2024$18.3M+$26M

AVNW usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$7M, but it generated $12M over the past year.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over AVNW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AVNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13MQ4 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13MQ4 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-205K shares
1 year-1.2%-154K shares
3 years+7.4%+879K shares
5 years+7.3%+868K shares
Available history+18%+2M shares

AVNW has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

AVNW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: 13.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: 13.3xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20243.7xElevated

AVNW has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

AVNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.8Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

AVNW's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AVNW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVNWSector medianRelative
PE93x28x234% above
PE %913556 pts above

AVNW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.312% below
20 week MA$20.216% below
50 week MA$21.020% below
100 week MA$21.120% below
200 week MA$25.534% below

AVNW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over AVNW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.06$17.6+149%
2021$17.6$31.7+80%
2022$31.7$31.1-1.8%
2023$31.1$32.7+5%
2024$32.7$17.8-45%
2025$17.8$21.4+20%
2026 YTD$21.4$16.9-21%

AVNW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +149% in 2020 to −45% in 2024. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over AVNW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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