AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
AVGO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI has a slight edge over AVGO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
AVGO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AVGO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
AVGO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $364 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $211 | -42% |
| Current | 46x | $364 | — |
| Fair | 49x | $384 | +5.3% |
| Expensive | 86x | $671 | +84% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AVGO's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI has the edge over AVGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AVGO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AVGO, with profitability holding steady.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
SMCI has the edge over AVGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
AVGO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $19.23 | +145% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.84 | +100% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.01 | +125% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.13 | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.77 | +288% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.92 | +241% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.67 | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.09 | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.23 | -63% |
AVGO has the edge over SMCI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.75 over the past year, up from $1.27 the year before.
AVGO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $29.6B | +86% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.2B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.3B | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $18B | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $16B | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $15B | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.9B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.1B | +51% |
AVGO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $29.6B last quarter, up 86% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 54% | +17 points |
| Q2 2026 | 49% | +9.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 44% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 42% | +8.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 37% | +7.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 39% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 42% | +25 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | -13 points |
AVGO has the edge over SMCI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI's operating margin was 10% last quarter, up 6.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AVGO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.7B | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.3B | +60% |
| Q1 2026 | $8B | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.5B | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $7B | +47% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.4B | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $6B | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +16% |
AVGO has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.
AVGO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +11M shares |
| 1 year | +0.6% | +27M shares |
| 3 years | +14% | +617M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +597M shares |
| Available history | +17% | +697M shares |
AVGO has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $600M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.9B |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
AVGO spent $8.4B buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
AVGO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.1x | High |
AVGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has the edge over AVGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
AVGO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.3 | Neutral |
AVGO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
AVGO PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | AVGO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 28x | 67% above |
| PE % | 47 | 35 | 12 pts above |
AVGO is trading at 46x earnings, a 67% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI has the edge over AVGO on valuation relative to its sector.
AVGO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $338.0 | 7.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $362.1 | 0.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $363.0 | 0.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $313.8 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $214.3 | 70% above |
AVGO has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
AVGO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.7 | $43.2 | +36% |
| 2021 | $43.2 | $66.5 | +54% |
| 2022 | $66.5 | $55.2 | -17% |
| 2023 | $55.2 | $111.6 | +102% |
| 2024 | $111.6 | $241.8 | +117% |
| 2025 | $241.8 | $352.1 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $352.1 | $364.4 | +3.5% |
AVGO has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.