AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AVGO has the edge over LITE overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

AVGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AVGO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

AVGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$364—
Cheap27x$211-42%
Current46x$364—
Fair49x$384+5.3%
Expensive86x$671+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVGO's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AVGO, with profitability holding steady.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LITE has the edge over AVGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AVGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$709.93
Downside-17%$302.18

Calculated from the latest close: $364.36 on Nov 12.

AVGO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LITE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

LITE trails AVGO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AVGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.23+145%
Q3 2026$7.84+100%
Q2 2026$6.01+125%
Q1 2026$5.13+145%
Q4 2025$4.77+288%
Q3 2025$3.92+241%
Q2 2025$2.67+15%
Q1 2025$2.09-23%
Q4 2024$1.23-63%

AVGO has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10—
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

AVGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$29.6B+86%
Q2 2026$22.2B+48%
Q1 2026$19.3B+29%
Q4 2025$18B+28%
Q3 2025$16B+22%
Q2 2025$15B+20%
Q1 2025$14.9B+25%
Q4 2024$14.1B+51%

AVGO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $29.6B last quarter, up 86% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over AVGO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AVGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.7B+95%
Q2 2026$10.3B+60%
Q1 2026$8B+33%
Q4 2025$7.5B+36%
Q3 2025$7B+47%
Q2 2025$6.4B+44%
Q1 2025$6B+28%
Q4 2024$5.5B+16%

AVGO has the edge over LITE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.

AVGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+11M shares
1 year+0.6%+27M shares
3 years+14%+617M shares
5 years+14%+597M shares
Available history+17%+697M shares

AVGO has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

AVGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh

AVGO has the edge over LITE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

AVGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic20.3Neutral

AVGO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

AVGO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVGOSector medianRelative
PE46x28x67% above
PE %473512 pts above

AVGO is trading at 46x earnings, a 67% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$338.07.8% above
20 week MA$362.10.6% above
50 week MA$363.00.4% above
100 week MA$313.816% above
200 week MA$214.370% above

AVGO has the edge over LITE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.

AVGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.7$43.2+36%
2021$43.2$66.5+54%
2022$66.5$55.2-17%
2023$55.2$111.6+102%
2024$111.6$241.8+117%
2025$241.8$352.1+46%
2026 YTD$352.1$364.4+3.5%

AVGO has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 3.5% so far in 2026.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE has the edge over AVGO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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