AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

84
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

AVGO has the edge over AXTI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

AXTI

AXT, Inc.

63
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation20/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential49/ 100

AXTI's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

AVGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AVGO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AXTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

AXTI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AVGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x103x155x207x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$364—
Cheap27x$211-42%
Current46x$364—
Fair49x$384+5.3%
Expensive86x$671+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVGO has the edge over AXTI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AXTI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2303x4606x6909x9212x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$5.95-86%
Forward18x$43.54—
Fair23x$9.92-77%
Expensive96x$42.09-3.3%
Current99x$43.54—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXTI's PE is in its expensive range at 99x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

AVGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for AVGO, with profitability holding steady.

AXTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

AXTI has the edge over AVGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

AVGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$709.93
Downside-17%$302.18

Calculated from the latest close: $364.36 on Nov 12.

AVGO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AXTI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AXTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$88.70
Downside-49%$22.40

Calculated from the latest close: $43.54 on Nov 12.

AXTI trails AVGO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AVGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
Q4 2023: $3.30Q1 2024: $2.70Q2 2024: $2.33Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.23Q1 2025: $2.09Q2 2025: $2.67Q3 2025: $3.92Q4 2025: $4.77Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $6.01Q3 2026: $7.84Forward: $19.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.23+145%
Q3 2026$7.84+100%
Q2 2026$6.01+125%
Q1 2026$5.13+145%
Q4 2025$4.77+288%
Q3 2025$3.92+241%
Q2 2025$2.67+15%
Q1 2025$2.09-23%
Q4 2024$1.23-63%

AVGO has the edge over AXTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
Q4 2023: $-0.43Q1 2024: $-0.40Q2 2024: $-0.32Q3 2024: $-0.25Q4 2024: $-0.27Q1 2025: $-0.42Q2 2025: $-0.54Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.49Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.44Forward: $2.40
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.40+445%
Q3 2026$0.44+$0.95
Q2 2026$0.01+$0.55
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.49-$0.22
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.26
Q2 2025-$0.54-$0.22
Q1 2025-$0.42-$0.02
Q4 2024-$0.27+$0.16

AXTI has returned to profit: it earned $0.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AVGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
Q4 2023: $9.3BQ1 2024: $12BQ2 2024: $12.5BQ3 2024: $13.1BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.9BQ2 2025: $15BQ3 2025: $16BQ4 2025: $18BQ1 2026: $19.3BQ2 2026: $22.2BQ3 2026: $29.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$29.6B+86%
Q2 2026$22.2B+48%
Q1 2026$19.3B+29%
Q4 2025$18B+28%
Q3 2025$16B+22%
Q2 2025$15B+20%
Q1 2025$14.9B+25%
Q4 2024$14.1B+51%

AVGO has the edge over AXTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $73M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$73.4M+163%
Q2 2026$47.6M+165%
Q1 2026$26.9M+39%
Q4 2025$23M-8.2%
Q3 2025$28M+18%
Q2 2025$18M-36%
Q1 2025$19.4M-15%
Q4 2024$25.1M+23%

AXTI's revenue is growing: $73M last quarter, up 163% from the same quarter a year ago.

AVGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.4BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $6BQ2 2025: $6.4BQ3 2025: $7BQ4 2025: $7.5BQ1 2026: $8BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $13.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$13.7B+95%
Q2 2026$10.3B+60%
Q1 2026$8B+33%
Q4 2025$7.5B+36%
Q3 2025$7B+47%
Q2 2025$6.4B+44%
Q1 2025$6B+28%
Q4 2024$5.5B+16%

AVGO has the edge over AXTI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$13MQ2 2024: $572,000Q3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$11MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: −$13MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$87.7M+$99M
Q2 2026$3.6M+$8.4M
Q1 2026-$13.1M-$9.2M
Q4 2025$1.3M+14%
Q3 2025-$11.3M-$5M
Q2 2025-$4.9M-949%
Q1 2025-$3.9M+$9.3M
Q4 2024$1.1M-48%

AXTI's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $79M over the past year.

AVGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
Q4 2023: 4.3BQ1 2024: 4.7BQ2 2024: 4.8BQ3 2024: 4.7BQ4 2024: 4.8BQ1 2025: 4.8BQ2 2025: 4.8BQ3 2025: 4.9BQ4 2025: 4.9BQ1 2026: 4.9BQ2 2026: 4.9BQ3 2026: 4.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+11M shares
1 year+0.6%+27M shares
3 years+14%+617M shares
5 years+14%+597M shares
Available history+17%+697M shares

AVGO has the edge over AXTI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 43MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 63MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+51%+22.2M shares
3 years+55%+23.3M shares
5 years+54%+23.1M shares
Available history+67%+26.4M shares

AXTI has 66M diluted shares, up 51% from a year ago.

AVGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 1.9xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh

AVGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

AXTI Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
Q2 2026: -24.4xQ3 2026: -9.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-24.4xNet Cash
Q2 202393.9xHigh
Q1 20235.5xHigh
Q4 20222.9xModerate
Q3 20222.2xModerate
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.5xNet Cash

AXTI has the edge over AVGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic20.3Neutral

AVGO's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

AXTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.1Oversold

AXTI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

AVGO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAVGOSector medianRelative
PE46x28x67% above
PE %473512 pts above

AVGO has the edge over AXTI on valuation relative to its sector.

AXTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricAXTISector medianRelative
PE99x28x255% above
PE %833548 pts above

AXTI is trading at 99x earnings, a 255% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

AVGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$338.07.8% above
20 week MA$362.10.6% above
50 week MA$363.00.4% above
100 week MA$313.816% above
200 week MA$214.370% above

AVGO has the edge over AXTI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AXTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.327% below
20 week MA$61.930% below
50 week MA$58.025% below
100 week MA$30.543% above
200 week MA$16.8159% above

AXTI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 159% above its 200-week average.

AVGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.7$43.2+36%
2021$43.2$66.5+54%
2022$66.5$55.2-17%
2023$55.2$111.6+102%
2024$111.6$241.8+117%
2025$241.8$352.1+46%
2026 YTD$352.1$364.4+3.5%

AVGO has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 3.5% so far in 2026.

AXTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.04$9.64+139%
2021$9.64$8.80-8.7%
2022$8.80$4.40-50%
2023$4.40$2.40-45%
2024$2.40$2.28-5%
2025$2.28$15.4+574%
2026 YTD$15.4$43.5+183%

AXTI has the edge over AVGO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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