AVAH

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.

68
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

AVAH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has a slight edge over AVAH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

AVAH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Under pressure

AVAH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

AVAH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x104x156x208x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE52x104x156x208x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.6x$9.24-25%
Current8.7x$12.24—
Forward14x$12.24—
Fair21x$29.51+141%
Expensive108x$151+1130%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AVAH's PE is in its cheap range at 8.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x, in its fair range.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over AVAH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AVAH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AVAH, with profitability improving.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over AVAH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

AVAH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+60%$19.58
Downside-27%$8.99

Calculated from the latest close: $12.24 on Nov 12.

AVAH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails AVAH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AVAH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.71Q1 2024: $-0.60Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $1.26Q4 2026: $1.40Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $-0.71Q1 2024: $-0.60Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.34Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.09Q3 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $1.05Q2 2026: $1.21Q3 2026: $1.26Q4 2026: $1.40Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88-37%
Q3 2026$1.40+278%
Q2 2026$1.26+1300%
Q1 2026$1.21+3933%
Q4 2025$1.05+$1.11
Q3 2025$0.37+$0.71
Q2 2025$0.09+$0.75
Q1 2025$0.03+$0.63
Q4 2024-$0.06+$0.65

AVAH has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

AVAH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $479MQ1 2024: $491MQ2 2024: $505MQ3 2024: $509MQ4 2024: $520MQ1 2025: $559MQ2 2025: $590MQ3 2025: $622MQ1 2026: $662MQ2 2026: $648MQ3 2026: $670MQ4 2026: $696M
Q4 2023: $479MQ1 2024: $491MQ2 2024: $505MQ3 2024: $509MQ4 2024: $520MQ1 2025: $559MQ2 2025: $590MQ3 2025: $622MQ1 2026: $662MQ2 2026: $648MQ3 2026: $670MQ4 2026: $696M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$695.5M+12%
Q2 2026$670.5M+14%
Q1 2026$647.9M+16%
Q4 2025$662.5M+27%
Q3 2025$621.9M+22%
Q2 2025$589.6M+17%
Q1 2025$559.2M+14%
Q4 2024$519.9M+8.6%

AVAH's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $696M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over AVAH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AVAH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $81MQ4 2026: $72M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $81MQ4 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$72.2M+118%
Q2 2026$80.9M+57%
Q1 2026$4.3M+$13M
Q4 2025$49.7M+271%
Q3 2025$33.2M+13%
Q2 2025$51.6M+2751%
Q1 2025-$8.6M+$3.3M
Q4 2024$13.4M+$16.4M

AVAH has the edge over OSCR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

AVAH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 190MQ1 2024: 192MQ2 2024: 197MQ3 2024: 193MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 206MQ2 2025: 210MQ3 2025: 222MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 222MQ3 2026: 225MQ4 2026: 229M
Q4 2023: 190MQ1 2024: 192MQ2 2024: 197MQ3 2024: 193MQ4 2024: 193MQ1 2025: 206MQ2 2025: 210MQ3 2025: 222MQ1 2026: 215MQ2 2026: 222MQ3 2026: 225MQ4 2026: 229M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+4.4M shares
1 year+3.1%+7M shares
3 years+21%+40.1M shares
5 years+29%+51.5M shares
Available history+27%+49.1M shares

AVAH has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

AVAH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 56.8xQ1 2024: 47.9xQ2 2024: 49.6xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 8.0xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2xQ4 2026: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 56.8xQ1 2024: 47.9xQ2 2024: 49.6xQ3 2024: 8.9xQ4 2024: 8.0xQ1 2025: 6.7xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.2xQ4 2026: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.5xElevated
Q2 20264.2xHigh
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 20255.3xHigh
Q1 20256.7xHigh
Q4 20248.0xHigh

AVAH's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.8 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over AVAH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AVAH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.6Neutral
Stochastic69.3Neutral

AVAH's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

AVAH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricAVAHSector medianRelative
PE8.7x26x66% below
PE %27369 pts below

AVAH has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

AVAH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.73.6% below
20 week MA$11.92.6% above
50 week MA$9.3431% above
100 week MA$7.6660% above
200 week MA$5.12139% above

AVAH's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 139% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over AVAH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVAH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.7$7.07-39%
2022$7.07$0.77-89%
2023$0.77$2.68+248%
2024$2.68$4.66+74%
2025$4.66$8.62+85%
2026 YTD$8.62$12.2+42%

AVAH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +248% in 2023 to −89% in 2022. It's up 42% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over AVAH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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