AUPH
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.
AUPH has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
NVO
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
AUPH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
AUPH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NVO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
AUPH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.1x | $16.18 | -0.2% |
| Current | 7.1x | $16.21 | — |
| Forward | 19x | $16.21 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $59.75 | +269% |
| Expensive | 31x | $70.12 | +333% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AUPH has the edge over NVO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NVO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 10x | $40.65 | — |
| Cheap | 14x | $53.56 | +32% |
| Fair | 27x | $103 | +154% |
| Expensive | 39x | $152 | +273% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AUPH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AUPH's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
NVO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AUPH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.83 | -64% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.29 | +309% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.29 | +433% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.17 | +675% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.08 | +4060% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +$0.71 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.77 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.28 | +$0.71 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.05 | +$0.59 |
AUPH's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.29 over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 17 quarters in a row.
NVO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.89 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.07 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.42 | +1.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.71 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.49 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.36 | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $3.15 | +27% |
NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.
AUPH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $83.7M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.2M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $77.7M | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $77.1M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $73.5M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $70M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $62.5M | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $59.9M | +33% |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 42% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 56% | +27 points |
| Q1 2026 | 53% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +46 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +23 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | +31 points |
| Q1 2025 | 35% | +61 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2.8% | +63 points |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NVO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $11.7B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.4B | +24% |
| Q4 2025 | $11.8B | -7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.1B | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.4B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.7B | +30% |
| Q3 2024 | $10.6B | +21% |
NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 34% | -9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 62% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 50% | +1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 43% | +2.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 47% | +1.6 points |
NVO's operating margin was 34% last quarter, down 9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
AUPH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $46.4M | +4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $52.6M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.6M | +2405% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.7M | +52% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.4M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.2M | +179% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3M | +$19.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $30.1M | +110% |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NVO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $6.3B | +73% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | -$5.4B | -$4.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | -2.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +89% |
| Q4 2024 | -$632.6M | +$390.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $4.7B | +3.3% |
NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.
AUPH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.2% | +1.6M shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -835K shares |
| 3 years | -5.4% | -7.7M shares |
| 5 years | +5.2% | +6.7M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +37.2M shares |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $38.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $36.2M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $8.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $42.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $46.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $21.8M |
AUPH spent $75M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 38% from the year before.
NVO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -12.9M shares |
| 1 year | -0.2% | -11M shares |
| 3 years | -1.5% | -66.8M shares |
| 5 years | -3.8% | -177M shares |
| Available history | -6.5% | -311M shares |
NVO has 4.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $520M |
| Q1 2026 | $356.7M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $206.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2024 | $357.4M |
NVO spent $877M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 48% from the year before.
AUPH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NVO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
AUPH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.0 | Neutral |
AUPH's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
NVO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.0 | Neutral |
NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).
AUPH PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | AUPH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.1x | 26x | 73% below |
| PE % | 18 | 29 | 11 pts below |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on valuation relative to its sector.
NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | NVO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10x | 26x | 60% below |
| PE % | 6 | 29 | 23 pts below |
NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.
AUPH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $16.5 | 1.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $16.1 | 0.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $15.6 | 3.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $12.7 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.3 | 57% above |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NVO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.2 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $43.9 | 7.4% below |
| 50 week MA | $45.3 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.3 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $80.7 | 50% below |
NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.
AUPH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.4 | $14.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $14.2 | $23.1 | +63% |
| 2022 | $23.1 | $4.53 | -80% |
| 2023 | $4.53 | $8.99 | +98% |
| 2024 | $8.99 | $9.20 | +2.3% |
| 2025 | $9.20 | $16.3 | +77% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.3 | $16.2 | -0.2% |
AUPH has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $29.1 | $34.7 | +19% |
| 2021 | $34.7 | $54.2 | +56% |
| 2022 | $54.2 | $67.0 | +24% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $103.5 | +54% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $87.4 | -16% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $52.4 | -40% |
| 2026 YTD | $52.4 | $40.7 | -22% |
NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.