AUBN

Auburn National Bancorporation, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score AUBN yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

AUBN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

AUBN's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AUBN.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

AUBN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$25.91-0.1%
Current10x$25.93—
Fair14x$34.22+32%
Expensive21x$53.36+106%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AUBN has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

AUBN Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for AUBN to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

AUBN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $25.93 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AUBN and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AUBN and MS's risk to reward.

AUBN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.91Q3 2025: $2.05Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.27Q2 2026: $2.41Q3 2026: $2.49
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $1.84Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.91Q3 2025: $2.05Q4 2025: $2.08Q1 2026: $2.27Q2 2026: $2.41Q3 2026: $2.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.49+21%
Q2 2026$2.41+26%
Q1 2026$2.27+20%
Q4 2025$2.08+13%
Q3 2025$2.05+720%
Q2 2025$1.91+961%
Q1 2025$1.89+722%
Q4 2024$1.84+360%

AUBN has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

AUBN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $630,000Q1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $630,000Q1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$9M+7%
Q2 2026$8.8M+7.8%
Q1 2026$8.6M+11%
Q4 2025$8.5M+8.4%
Q3 2025$8.4M+10%
Q2 2025$8.1M+6.9%
Q1 2025$7.8M+3.3%
Q4 2024$7.8M+1140%

AUBN's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $9M last quarter, up 7% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over AUBN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AUBN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.5M-29%
Q1 2026$2.5M-3.5%
Q3 2025$4.1M+117%
Q2 2025$2.1M-30%
Q1 2025$2.6M-15%
Q3 2024$1.9M-43%
Q2 2024$3M+23%
Q1 2024$3.1M-37%

AUBN has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 9.6% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AUBN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-6.9K shares
1 year-0.3%-10.8K shares
3 years-0.3%-11.2K shares
5 years-1.2%-42.4K shares
Available history-3%-108K shares

AUBN has 3M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over AUBN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AUBN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.7xQ1 2024: -11.3xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -10.5xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -11.7xQ1 2024: -11.3xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -10.5xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash

AUBN has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

AUBN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic53.4Neutral

AUBN's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

AUBN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAUBNSector medianRelative
PE10x13x20% below
PE %176346 pts below

AUBN has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AUBN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.41.9% below
20 week MA$26.62.5% below
50 week MA$25.51.6% above
100 week MA$24.55.9% above
200 week MA$22.714% above

AUBN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 14% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

AUBN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.8$42.6-21%
2021$42.6$32.1-24%
2022$32.1$23.3-27%
2023$23.3$21.3-8.7%
2024$21.3$23.9+12%
2025$23.9$27.0+13%
2026 YTD$27.0$25.9-3.8%

AUBN has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 3.8% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over AUBN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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